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Who’s ahead in New Jersey?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, New Jersey, 2024

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Research Co.
 Harris
57%
 Harris
57%

Harris

57%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+17
Oct. 2-28
400LV
Oct. 2-28
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
57%
 Harris
57%

Harris

57%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+14
Oct. 23-24
600LV
Oct. 23-24
600LV
Cygnal
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+12
Oct. 23-24
600LV
Oct. 23-24
600LV
Cygnal
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+12
Oct. 15-22
478RV
Oct. 15-22
478RV
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Harris+14
Oct. 15-22
451RV
Oct. 15-22
451RV
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling
 Harris
55%
 Harris
55%

Harris

55%

Trump

35%
35%
Trump  Harris+20
Sept. 4-Oct. 2
400LV
Sept. 4-Oct. 2
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
56%
 Harris
56%

Harris

56%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+12
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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