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Who’s ahead in New Mexico?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, New Mexico, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3
600LV
Nov. 1-3
600LV
Victory Insights
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+5
Oct. 28-31
632LV
Oct. 28-31
632LV
SurveyUSA
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+6
Oct. 10-18
1,024LV
Oct. 10-18
1,024LV
Research & Polling
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

3%
41%
 TrumpHarris+9
Oct. 12-14
382LV
Oct. 12-14
382LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+4
Sept. 12-18
619LV
Sept. 12-18
619LV
SurveyUSA
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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