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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+7
July 1-4
696RV
July 1-4
696RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
June 7-11
600LV
June 7-11
600LV
Spry Strategies
 Biden
37%
 Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

8%
45%
 TrumpTrump+8
May 31-June 3
1,332RV
May 31-June 3
1,332RV
East Carolina University Center for Survey Research
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
May 29-June 2
600LV
May 29-June 2
600LV
North Star Opinion Research
 Biden
32%
 Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

9%

West

3%

Stein

2%
44%
 TrumpTrump+12
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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