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Who’s ahead in Ohio?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Ohio, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-4
1,095LV
Nov. 2-4
1,095LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+7
Nov. 1-4
1,022LV
Nov. 1-4
1,022LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+9
Nov. 1-4
1,022LV
Nov. 1-4
1,022LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

54%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
54%
 TrumpTrump+9
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Emerson College
 Harris
44%
 Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+11
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,254LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,254LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
44%
 Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+9
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,161LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,161LV
Focaldata
 Harris
44%
 Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

53%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
53%
 TrumpTrump+9
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,867RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,867RV
Focaldata
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

52%

Oliver

2%

Stein

0%
52%
 TrumpTrump+7
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,161A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,161A
Focaldata
 Harris
43%
 Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

52%

Oliver

2%

Stein

0%
52%
 TrumpTrump+9
Oct. 28-30
859RV
Oct. 28-30
859RV
Miami University Department of Political Science
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

49%

Oliver

0%

Kennedy

0%

Stein

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 25-28
1,127LV
Oct. 25-28
1,127LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6
Oct. 5-28
400LV
Oct. 5-28
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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