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Who’s ahead in Oregon?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

President: general election, Oregon, 2024

Oct. 16-17, 2024
716LV
Oct. 16-17, 2024
716LV
Public Policy Polling
 Harris
53%
 Harris
53%

Harris

53%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+12
July 24-26, 2024
700LV
July 24-26, 2024
700LV
Hoffman Research Group
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%
40%
 TrumpHarris+5
July 24-26, 2024
700LV
July 24-26, 2024
700LV
Hoffman Research Group
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+5
April 16-23, 2024
250RV
April 16-23, 2024
250RV
The Bullfinch Group
 Biden
40%
 Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

29%

Kennedy

19%

Stein

3%

West

1%
29%
 TrumpBiden+11
April 16-23, 2024
250RV
April 16-23, 2024
250RV
The Bullfinch Group
 Biden
52%
 Biden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Biden+12
April 13-21, 2024
419LV
April 13-21, 2024
419LV
John Zogby Strategies
 Kennedy
42%
 Kennedy
42%

Kennedy

42%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Kennedy+4
April 13-21, 2024
419LV
April 13-21, 2024
419LV
John Zogby Strategies
 Biden
40%
 Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Kennedy

49%
49%
Kennedy  Kennedy+9
Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2022
975LV
Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2022
975LV
Emerson College
 Biden
51%
 Biden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

35%
35%
Trump  Biden+15

No matching polls

Has a polling averageavg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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