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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Public Policy Polling
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%
46%
 TrumpTrump+4
July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+4
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
July 13-16
536RV
July 13-16
536RV
Civiqs
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

6%
46%
 TrumpTrump+4
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
44%
 Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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