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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%
46%
TrumpTrump+4
July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+4
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
July 13-16
536RV
July 13-16
536RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

6%
46%
TrumpTrump+4
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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