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Who’s ahead in Tennessee?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

April 26-May 9
501RV
April 26-May 9
501RV
Biden
29%
Biden
29%

Biden

29%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

8%
47%
TrumpTrump+18
April 13-21
510LV
April 13-21
510LV
Kennedy
35%
Kennedy
35%

Kennedy

35%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+18
April 13-21
510LV
April 13-21
510LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Kennedy

55%
55%
Kennedy  Kennedy+24
March 15-April 2
1,176RV
March 15-April 2
1,176RV
Biden
25%
Biden
25%

Biden

25%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

16%
48%
TrumpTrump+23
March 15-April 2
1,139RV
March 15-April 2
1,139RV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

60%
60%
Trump  Trump+29
March 15-April 2
955LV
March 15-April 2
955LV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

15%
47%
TrumpTrump+19
March 15-April 2
974LV
March 15-April 2
974LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+24
Feb. 29-March 3
201LV
Feb. 29-March 3
201LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+25
Feb. 29-March 3
216RV
Feb. 29-March 3
216RV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+24
Dec. 14-28
929LV
Dec. 14-28
929LV
Biden
25%
Biden
25%

Biden

25%

Trump

51%

Kennedy

16%
51%
TrumpTrump+26
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Biden
23%
Biden
23%

Biden

23%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

17%
48%
TrumpTrump+25
Dec. 14-28
929LV
Dec. 14-28
929LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

63%
63%
Trump  Trump+32
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Dec. 14-28
1,187RV
Biden
30%
Biden
30%

Biden

30%

Trump

61%
61%
Trump  Trump+31
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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