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Who’s ahead in Tennessee?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

Oct. 5-28
400LV
Oct. 5-28
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
38%
 Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

62%
62%
Trump  Trump+23
Sept. 24-Oct. 16
400LV
Sept. 24-Oct. 16
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
38%
 Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

62%
62%
Trump  Trump+25
Sept. 27-Oct. 8
971LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 8
971LV
Targoz Market Research
 Harris
35%
 Harris
35%

Harris

35%

Trump

56%

Kennedy

5%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
56%
 TrumpTrump+21
Sept. 27-Oct. 8
1,200RV
Sept. 27-Oct. 8
1,200RV
Targoz Market Research
 Harris
35%
 Harris
35%

Harris

35%

Trump

54%

Kennedy

5%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
54%
 TrumpTrump+19
July 27-Aug. 29
400LV
July 27-Aug. 29
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
37%
 Harris
37%

Harris

37%

Trump

63%
63%
Trump  Trump+26
June 20-July 1
962LV
June 20-July 1
962LV
Targoz Market Research
 Biden
28%
 Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

58%

Kennedy

5%
58%
 TrumpTrump+30
June 20-July 1
1,152RV
June 20-July 1
1,152RV
Targoz Market Research
 Biden
28%
 Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

55%

Kennedy

7%
55%
 TrumpTrump+27
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