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Who’s ahead in Tennessee?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

July 27-Aug. 29
400LV
July 27-Aug. 29
400LV
Harris
37%
Harris
37%

Harris

37%

Trump

63%
63%
Trump  Trump+26
June 20-July 1
962LV
June 20-July 1
962LV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

58%

Kennedy

5%
58%
TrumpTrump+30
June 20-July 1
1,152RV
June 20-July 1
1,152RV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

55%

Kennedy

7%
55%
TrumpTrump+27
April 26-May 9
501RV
April 26-May 9
501RV
Biden
29%
Biden
29%

Biden

29%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

8%
47%
TrumpTrump+18
April 13-21
510LV
April 13-21
510LV
Kennedy
35%
Kennedy
35%

Kennedy

35%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+18
April 13-21
510LV
April 13-21
510LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Kennedy

55%
55%
Kennedy  Kennedy+24
March 15-April 2
1,176RV
March 15-April 2
1,176RV
Biden
25%
Biden
25%

Biden

25%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

16%
48%
TrumpTrump+23
March 15-April 2
1,139RV
March 15-April 2
1,139RV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

60%
60%
Trump  Trump+29
March 15-April 2
955LV
March 15-April 2
955LV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

15%
47%
TrumpTrump+19
March 15-April 2
974LV
March 15-April 2
974LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+24
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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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