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Who’s ahead in Vermont?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Vermont, 2024

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
Harris
63%
Harris
63%

Harris

63%

Trump

31%

De la Cruz

2%

Kennedy

2%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
31%
TrumpHarris+32
Aug. 15-19
924LV
Aug. 15-19
924LV
Harris
70%
Harris
70%

Harris

70%

Trump

29%
29%
Trump  Harris+41
Aug. 15-19
924LV
Aug. 15-19
924LV
Harris
67%
Harris
67%

Harris

67%

Trump

27%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
27%
TrumpHarris+40
April 13-21
272LV
April 13-21
272LV
Kennedy
52%
Kennedy
52%

Kennedy

52%

Trump

29%
29%
Trump  Kennedy+22
April 13-21
272LV
April 13-21
272LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Kennedy

42%
42%
Kennedy  Biden+5
Feb. 29-March 3
111LV
Feb. 29-March 3
111LV
Biden
59%
Biden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

28%
28%
Trump  Biden+31
Feb. 29-March 3
117RV
Feb. 29-March 3
117RV
Biden
58%
Biden
58%

Biden

58%

Trump

28%
28%
Trump  Biden+30
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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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