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Who’s ahead in Vermont?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Vermont, 2024

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Harris
63%
 Harris
63%

Harris

63%

Trump

31%

De la Cruz

2%

Kennedy

2%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
31%
 TrumpHarris+32
Aug. 15-19
924LV
Aug. 15-19
924LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Harris
70%
 Harris
70%

Harris

70%

Trump

29%
29%
Trump  Harris+41
Aug. 15-19
924LV
Aug. 15-19
924LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Harris
67%
 Harris
67%

Harris

67%

Trump

27%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
27%
 TrumpHarris+40
April 13-21
272LV
April 13-21
272LV
John Zogby Strategies
 Kennedy
52%
 Kennedy
52%

Kennedy

52%

Trump

29%
29%
Trump  Kennedy+22
April 13-21
272LV
April 13-21
272LV
John Zogby Strategies
 Biden
47%
 Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Kennedy

42%
42%
Kennedy  Biden+5
Feb. 29-March 3
111LV
Feb. 29-March 3
111LV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Biden
59%
 Biden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

28%
28%
Trump  Biden+31
Feb. 29-March 3
117RV
Feb. 29-March 3
117RV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Biden
58%
 Biden
58%

Biden

58%

Trump

28%
28%
Trump  Biden+30
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