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Who’s ahead in Virginia?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
2,202LV
Nov. 1-4
2,202LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+5
Nov. 1-4
2,202LV
Nov. 1-4
2,202LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+5
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Research Co.
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+6
Oct. 28-30
520LV
Oct. 28-30
520LV
Chism Strategies
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 27-29
600LV
Oct. 27-29
600LV
Cygnal
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

43%

Stein

1%

West

1%

De la Cruz

0%

Oliver

0%
43%
 TrumpHarris+8
Oct. 25-29
851LV
Oct. 25-29
851LV
Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

41%

West

2%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
41%
 TrumpHarris+10
Oct. 2-28
400LV
Oct. 2-28
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
54%
 Harris
54%

Harris

54%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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