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Who’s ahead in Virginia?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

July 11, 2024July 13July 15July 17July 19July 210102030405060%Biden 43.4%Trump 42.0%Kennedy 7.5%July 21, 2024 leaderJuly 21, 2024 leaderBidenBiden+1.4

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 14-15, 2024
265LV
July 14-15, 2024
265LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

4%
42%
TrumpBiden+1
July 14-15, 2024
1,000RV
July 14-15, 2024
1,000RV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
July 12-13, 2024
544LV
July 12-13, 2024
544LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

10%
39%
TrumpBiden+3
July 9-12, 2024
661LV
July 9-12, 2024
661LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Biden+3
July 6-11, 2024
1,000A
July 6-11, 2024
1,000A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+3
June 24-July 3, 2024
755RV
June 24-July 3, 2024
755RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

2%
39%
TrumpTrump+2
June 24-July 3, 2024
809A
June 24-July 3, 2024
809A
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

West

1%
39%
TrumpTrump+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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