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Who’s ahead in Wisconsin?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
869LV
Nov. 3-4
869LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Nov. 3-4
869LV
Nov. 3-4
869LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+1
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Research Co.
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Nov. 1-3
1,086LV
Nov. 1-3
1,086LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1
Nov. 1-3
835RV
Nov. 1-3
835RV
Patriot Polling
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Nov. 1-2
728LV
Nov. 1-2
728LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Nov. 1-2
728LV
Nov. 1-2
728LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
800LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
800LV
Emerson College
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
786LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
786LV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 10-Nov. 1
400LV
Oct. 10-Nov. 1
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,799LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,799LV
Focaldata
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
47%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,613RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,613RV
Focaldata
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
46%
 TrumpHarris+5
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,799A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,799A
Focaldata
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
46%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 30-31
673LV
Oct. 30-31
673LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 30-31
673LV
Oct. 30-31
673LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
49%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Oct. 29-31
800LV
OnMessage
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 28-31
932LV
Oct. 28-31
932LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
47%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 25-31
867LV
Oct. 25-31
867LV
YouGov
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 25-31
889RV
Oct. 25-31
889RV
YouGov
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 25-31
867LV
Oct. 25-31
867LV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 25-31
889RV
Oct. 25-31
889RV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

3%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 22-31
540LV
Oct. 22-31
540LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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