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Who’s ahead in all?

An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 15, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-16
1,228LV
Oct. 14-16
1,228LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 11-16
1,435LV
Oct. 11-16
1,435LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-16
789LV
Oct. 10-16
789LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-16
787LV
Oct. 10-16
787LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 26-Oct. 16
400LV
Sept. 26-Oct. 16
400LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+12

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

Sept. 24-Oct. 16
400LV
Sept. 24-Oct. 16
400LV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

62%
62%
Trump  Trump+25

President: general election, Massachusetts, 2024

Sept. 6-Oct. 16
400LV
Sept. 6-Oct. 16
400LV
Harris
67%
Harris
67%

Harris

67%

Trump

33%
33%
Trump  Harris+33

Oct. 14, 2024

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-15
800RV
Oct. 14-15
800RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 6-15
1,002LV
Oct. 6-15
1,002LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-15
1,314LV
Oct. 12-15
1,314LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 12-15
1,457RV
Oct. 12-15
1,457RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+3

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
527LV
Oct. 6-15
527LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
2,048LV
Oct. 6-15
2,048LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
1,395LV
Oct. 6-15
1,395LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1

President: general election, Ohio, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
1,243LV
Oct. 6-15
1,243LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+7

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
1,072LV
Oct. 6-15
1,072LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
496LV
Oct. 6-15
496LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
1,065LV
Oct. 6-15
1,065LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2

President: general election, Maryland, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
490LV
Oct. 6-15
490LV
Harris
64%
Harris
64%

Harris

64%

Trump

31%
31%
Trump  Harris+33

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
653LV
Oct. 6-15
653LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1

Oct. 13, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14
589LV
Oct. 14
589LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 14
589LV
Oct. 14
589LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

Kennedy

0%

West

0%
47%
TrumpEven
Oct. 12-14
682LV
Oct. 12-14
682LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
47%
TrumpEven

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
641LV
Oct. 12-14
641LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
47%
TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 12-14
803RV
Oct. 12-14
803RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
1,649LV
Oct. 12-14
1,649LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
48%
TrumpEven

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
620LV
Oct. 12-14
620LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 12-14
600LV
Oct. 12-14
600LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Terry

0%
47%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 10-14
1,031LV
Oct. 10-14
1,031LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 10-14
1,031LV
Oct. 10-14
1,031LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%

West

0%

Terry

0%
47%
TrumpHarris+2

President: general election, New Mexico, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
382LV
Oct. 12-14
382LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+4

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
838LV
Oct. 12-14
838LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
47%
TrumpEven

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
544LV
Oct. 12-14
544LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

43%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpHarris+8

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
637LV
Oct. 12-14
637LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
47%
TrumpEven
Oct. 10-14
1,328LV
Oct. 10-14
1,328LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6
Oct. 10-14
1,328LV
Oct. 10-14
1,328LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

52%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
52%
TrumpTrump+7

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
1,009LV
Oct. 12-14
1,009LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

50%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+6

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
1,141LV
Oct. 12-14
1,141LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
48%
TrumpTrump+2

President: general election, California, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
1,000LV
Oct. 12-14
1,000LV
Harris
61%
Harris
61%

Harris

61%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Harris+24

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 11-14
870LV
Oct. 11-14
870LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 11-14
1,110RV
Oct. 11-14
1,110RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 8-14
806RV
Oct. 8-14
806RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3

President: general election, Maryland, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 8-Oct. 14
400LV
Sept. 8-Oct. 14
400LV
Harris
63%
Harris
63%

Harris

63%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Harris+26

Oct. 12, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 11-13
1,212LV
Oct. 11-13
1,212LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 11-13
8,647LV
Oct. 11-13
8,647LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 11-13
938A
Oct. 11-13
938A
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 11-13
769LV
Oct. 11-13
769LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 11-13
807RV
Oct. 11-13
807RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

West

2%

Stein

1%
48%
TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

West

1%

Stein

1%
48%
TrumpHarris+1

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 11-13
692LV
Oct. 11-13
692LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-13
1,088LV
Oct. 10-13
1,088LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+1

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-13
1,085LV
Oct. 10-13
1,085LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-13
1,090LV
Oct. 10-13
1,090LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+2

President: general election, Washington, 2024

Sept. 7-Oct. 13
400LV
Sept. 7-Oct. 13
400LV
Harris
60%
Harris
60%

Harris

60%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+20

Oct. 11, 2024

President: general election, Washington, 2024

Oct. 8-12
401LV
Oct. 8-12
401LV
Harris
57%
Harris
57%

Harris

57%

Trump

32%
32%
Trump  Harris+25
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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