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UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Who’s ahead in Arizona?

An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
610 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
610LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%

West

1%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
610 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
610LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
988 RV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
988RVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+1
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
717 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
717LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpEven
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
409 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
409LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+3
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
360 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
360LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

4%
MoreBiden+5
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,807 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,807LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,807 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
3,807RVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+8
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,059 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,059LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 28-30, 2020
550 LV
Oct 28-30, 2020
550LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+1
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 26-29, 2020
889 LV
Oct 26-29, 2020
889LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+4
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 10-13, 2020
750 LV
Oct 10-13, 2020
750LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 9-10, 2020
720 LV
Oct 9-10, 2020
720LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,195 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,195LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 30-31, 2020
641 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
641LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+2
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 29-31, 2020
732 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
732LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 26-30, 2020
1,252 LV
Oct 26-30, 2020
1,252LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+6

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 23-30, 2020
892 RV
Oct 23-30, 2020
892RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 23-30, 2020
865 LV
Oct 23-30, 2020
865LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+4
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 15-24, 2020
700 LV
Oct 15-24, 2020
700LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+3

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 25-28, 2020
1,002 LV
Oct 25-28, 2020
1,002LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+3
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 23-26, 2020
304 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
304LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

4%
MoreBiden+9

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ariz.
Ariz.
Oct 27-29, 2020
800 LV
Oct 27-29, 2020
800LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+4
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