Filter by poll type or state

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 5, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 3-6
537A
July 3-6
537A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Harris

32%
32%
Harris  Biden+15

June 30, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 28-July 1
536RV
June 28-July 1
536RV
Harris
31%
Harris
31%

Harris

31%

Newsom

17%

Buttigieg

8%

Sanders

7%

Whitmer

6%

Warren

4%

Ocasio-Cortez

3%

Klobuchar

2%
17%
NewsomHarris+14

June 29, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 29-30
397RV
June 29-30
397RV
Harris
25%
Harris
25%

Harris

25%

M. Obama

21%

Newsom

17%

Whitmer

7%

Buttigieg

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

2%
21%
M. ObamaHarris+4

June 27, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 28
879LV
June 28
879LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Newsom

16%

Buttigieg

8%

Whitmer

7%

Shapiro

4%

Moore

2%
16%
NewsomHarris+27
June 28
827RV
June 28
827RV
Harris
30%
Harris
30%

Harris

30%

Newsom

20%

Buttigieg

9%

Whitmer

5%

Beshear

3%

Cooper

3%

Pritzker

2%

Moore

2%
20%
NewsomHarris+10
June 28
387LV
June 28
387LV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Newsom

18%

Buttigieg

10%

Booker

7%

Whitmer

6%

Pritzker

2%

Klobuchar

2%

Shapiro

2%
18%
NewsomHarris+21

April 4, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 29-April 5
1,526RV
March 29-April 5
1,526RV
Biden
76%
Biden
76%

Biden

76%

Phillips

3%

Williamson

3%
3%
PhillipsBiden+73
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download