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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending yesterday

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.22-26
432LV
Sep.22-26
432LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Biden
56%
 Biden
56%

Biden

56%

Kennedy

15%

Williamson

3%
15%
 KennedyBiden+41

Sept. 19, 2023

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.15-20
Sep.15-20
ABC News/The Washington Post
 Biden
35%
 Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Harris

5%

Sanders

5%

Kennedy

4%

Newsom

2%

Warren

2%

Buttigieg

1%

Williamson

1%

Klobuchar

0%

Booker

0%
5%
 HarrisBiden+30
Sep.15-20
396A
Sep.15-20
396A
ABC News/The Washington Post
 Biden
33%
 Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Harris

5%

Sanders

5%

Kennedy

4%

Newsom

2%

Warren

1%

Williamson

1%

Buttigieg

1%

Booker

0%

Klobuchar

0%
5%
 HarrisBiden+28

Sept. 18, 2023

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.13-19
1,114RV
Sep.13-19
1,114RV
HarrisX
 Harris
43%
 Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Kennedy

20%

Williamson

8%
20%
 KennedyHarris+23
Sep.13-19
1,114RV
Sep.13-19
1,114RV
HarrisX
 Biden
62%
 Biden
62%

Biden

62%

Kennedy

16%

Williamson

6%
16%
 KennedyBiden+46

Sept. 17, 2023

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.17-18
457LV
Sep.17-18
457LV
Emerson College
 Biden
62%
 Biden
62%

Biden

62%

Kennedy

14%

Williamson

4%
14%
 KennedyBiden+47
Sep.14-18
486RV
Sep.14-18
486RV
YouGov
 Biden
68%
 Biden
68%

Biden

68%

Kennedy

7%

Williamson

4%
7%
 KennedyBiden+61
Sep.14-18
Sep.14-18
Rasmussen Reports
 Biden
57%
 Biden
57%

Biden

57%

Kennedy

25%

Williamson

3%
25%
 KennedyBiden+32

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

Sep.14-18
801LV
Sep.14-18
801LV
University of New Hampshire
 Biden
78%
 Biden
78%

Biden

78%

Kennedy

9%

Williamson

6%
9%
 KennedyBiden+69

Sept. 13, 2023

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.13-14
800RV
Sep.13-14
800RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Kennedy

19%

Williamson

7%
19%
 KennedyHarris+26
Sep.13-14
800RV
Sep.13-14
800RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Biden
60%
 Biden
60%

Biden

60%

Kennedy

15%

Williamson

4%
15%
 KennedyBiden+45
Sep.8-14
2,024A
Sep.8-14
2,024A
Ipsos
 Biden
67%
 Biden
67%

Biden

67%

Kennedy

14%

Williamson

4%
14%
 KennedyBiden+53
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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