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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 26, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

594RV
Jun.24-27
594RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Newsom

18%
18%
Newsom  Biden+20
714A
Jun.24-27
714A
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Newsom

17%
17%
Newsom  Biden+20
594RV
Jun.24-27
594RV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Harris

24%
24%
Harris  Biden+8
714A
Jun.24-27
714A
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Harris

25%
25%
Harris  Biden+6

June 21, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

456LV
Jun.17-22
456LV
M. Obama
19%
M. Obama
19%

M. Obama

19%

Harris

13%

Buttigieg

8%

H. Clinton

7%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Abrams

6%

O'Rourke

4%

Booker

3%

Klobuchar

3%

Newsom

3%

Winfrey

2%

McConaughey

2%

Manchin

2%

Adams

1%

Kaine

1%

Patrick

1%

Cuomo

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Gillibrand

0%

Hickenlooper

0%

Steyer

0%
13%
HarrisM. Obama+6
456LV
Jun.17-22
456LV
Biden
23%
Biden
23%

Biden

23%

M. Obama

18%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Harris

5%

Buttigieg

5%

Abrams

5%

H. Clinton

5%

O'Rourke

4%

Booker

3%

Klobuchar

2%

Winfrey

2%

Newsom

2%

McConaughey

1%

Manchin

1%

Cuomo

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Kaine

1%

Adams

1%

Hickenlooper

0%

Patrick

0%

Gillibrand

0%

Steyer

0%
18%
M. ObamaBiden+5

June 20, 2022

President: Democratic primary, Massachusetts, 2024

588LV
Jun.15-21
588LV
Biden
26%
Biden
26%

Biden

26%

Sanders

14%

Warren

14%

Buttigieg

13%

Harris

9%

H. Clinton

7%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%
14%
SandersBiden+12

June 19, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

489RV
Jun.17-20
489RV
Harris
30%
Harris
30%

Harris

30%

Buttigieg

11%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Warren

6%

Abrams

5%

Booker

5%

Newsom

5%

Klobuchar

3%

Whitmer

2%

Pritzker

2%

Sinema

1%

Raimondo

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Warnock

1%

Beshear

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%

Adams

0%

Polis

0%
11%
ButtigiegHarris+19
484LV
Jun.17-20
484LV
Harris
27%
Harris
27%

Harris

27%

Buttigieg

12%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Abrams

6%

Booker

6%

Warren

6%

Newsom

5%

Klobuchar

4%

Whitmer

2%

Sinema

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Pritzker

1%

Warnock

1%

Beshear

0%

Raimondo

0%

Adams

0%

Polis

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%
12%
ButtigiegHarris+15

May 23, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

554LV
May 23-24
554LV
M. Obama
21%
M. Obama
21%

M. Obama

21%

H. Clinton

21%

Harris

19%

Sanders

8%

Jill Biden

7%

Abrams

5%

Newsom

5%

Warren

4%
21%
H. ClintonEven
554LV
May 23-24
554LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

M. Obama

16%

Harris

11%

Sanders

8%

Jill Biden

3%

Warren

3%

Abrams

3%

Newsom

3%
16%
M. ObamaBiden+25
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