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Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 10, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 8-11
356RV
March 8-11
356RV
Biden
74%
Biden
74%

Biden

74%

Williamson

2%

Phillips

0%
2%
WilliamsonBiden+72

President: Democratic primary, Ohio, 2024

March 6-11
373LV
March 6-11
373LV
Biden
86%
Biden
86%

Biden

86%

Phillips

5%
5%
Phillips  Biden+81

March 9, 2024

President: Democratic primary, Ohio, 2024

March 7-10
301LV
March 7-10
301LV
Biden
91%
Biden
91%

Biden

91%

Phillips

1%

Williamson

1%
1%
PhillipsBiden+89

March 5, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 5-6
540LV
March 5-6
540LV
Biden
77%
Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Phillips

4%

Williamson

3%
4%
PhillipsBiden+74

March 2, 2024

President: Democratic primary, Virginia, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
120RV
Feb. 29-March 3
120RV
Biden
92%
Biden
92%

Biden

92%

Phillips

0%
0%
Phillips  Biden+92

President: Democratic primary, Texas, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
151RV
Feb. 29-March 3
151RV
Biden
87%
Biden
87%

Biden

87%

Phillips

1%
1%
Phillips  Biden+86

President: Democratic primary, Massachusetts, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
115RV
Feb. 29-March 3
115RV
Biden
85%
Biden
85%

Biden

85%

Phillips

3%
3%
Phillips  Biden+82

President: Democratic primary, California, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
347RV
Feb. 29-March 3
347RV
Biden
86%
Biden
86%

Biden

86%

Phillips

4%
4%
Phillips  Biden+82

Feb. 29, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
M. Obama
22%
M. Obama
22%

M. Obama

22%

Harris

20%

Newsom

11%

Sanders

10%

H. Clinton

8%

Buttigieg

7%

Warren

5%

Klobuchar

2%
20%
HarrisM. Obama+2
Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
Feb. 28-March 1
603RV
Biden
76%
Biden
76%

Biden

76%

Phillips

9%
9%
Phillips  Biden+67
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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