UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 24, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

893RV
Sep.23-25
893RV
Harris
26%
Harris
26%

Harris

26%

Buttigieg

13%

Ocasio-Cortez

8%

Warren

7%

Newsom

5%

Booker

4%

Klobuchar

4%

Adams

1%

Raimondo

1%

Pritzker

1%

Whitmer

1%

Cooper

0%
13%
ButtigiegHarris+13

Sept. 22, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

397RV
Sep.21-23
397RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Buttigieg

16%

Sanders

15%

Harris

14%
16%
ButtigiegBiden+32
434A
Sep.21-23
434A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Buttigieg

16%

Harris

15%

Sanders

15%
16%
ButtigiegBiden+30

Sept. 21, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

471LV
Sep.17-22
471LV
M. Obama
18%
M. Obama
18%

M. Obama

18%

Harris

11%

H. Clinton

9%

Sanders

7%

Buttigieg

6%

O'Rourke

5%

Newsom

5%

Abrams

4%

Warren

4%

Winfrey

3%

Ocasio-Cortez

2%

Klobuchar

2%

McConaughey

2%

Polis

2%

Booker

1%

Manchin

1%

Adams

1%

Kaine

1%

Patrick

1%

Cuomo

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Gillibrand

1%

Hickenlooper

1%

Steyer

1%

Omar

0%
11%
HarrisM. Obama+7
471LV
Sep.17-22
471LV
Biden
27%
Biden
27%

Biden

27%

M. Obama

16%

Sanders

7%

Harris

6%

H. Clinton

6%

Buttigieg

5%

Abrams

4%

Ocasio-Cortez

3%

O'Rourke

2%

Newsom

2%

McConaughey

2%

Warren

2%

Booker

1%

Klobuchar

1%

Winfrey

1%

Manchin

1%

Kaine

1%

Hickenlooper

1%

Steyer

1%

Polis

1%

Cuomo

0%

P. Murphy

0%

Adams

0%

Patrick

0%

Gillibrand

0%
16%
M. ObamaBiden+11

Sept. 18, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

911A
Sep.16-19
911A
Harris
36%
Harris
36%

Harris

36%

H. Clinton

18%

Newsom

10%

Buttigieg

7%

Warren

5%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Abrams

4%

Pritzker

3%

Klobuchar

1%
18%
H. ClintonHarris+18
501RV
Sep.16-19
501RV
Harris
30%
Harris
30%

Harris

30%

Buttigieg

10%

Ocasio-Cortez

8%

Abrams

7%

Warren

5%

Newsom

5%

Klobuchar

4%

Whitmer

2%

Booker

2%

P. Murphy

1%

Pritzker

1%

Polis

1%

Warnock

1%

Beshear

0%

Sinema

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%

Adams

0%
10%
ButtigiegHarris+20
509LV
Sep.16-19
509LV
Harris
28%
Harris
28%

Harris

28%

Buttigieg

11%

Abrams

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Newsom

6%

Klobuchar

5%

Warren

5%

Booker

3%

Whitmer

2%

P. Murphy

1%

Pritzker

1%

Polis

1%

Warnock

1%

Beshear

0%

Sinema

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%

Adams

0%
11%
ButtigiegHarris+17

Sept. 17, 2022

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