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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 25, 2023

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

486LV
Jan.25-26
486LV
Biden
25%
Biden
25%

Biden

25%

Buttigieg

16%

M. Obama

15%

Harris

5%

Newsom

3%
16%
ButtigiegBiden+9

Jan. 24, 2023

President: Democratic primary, 2024

467LV
Jan.23-25
467LV
Harris
23%
Harris
23%

Harris

23%

Buttigieg

11%

Ocasio-Cortez

9%

Warren

8%

Newsom

8%

Klobuchar

4%

Abrams

4%

Booker

4%

Whitmer

3%

Pritzker

3%

Raimondo

1%

Polis

1%

Warnock

1%

Beshear

0%

Cooper

0%

P. Murphy

0%

Adams

0%

Landrieu

0%
11%
ButtigiegHarris+12

Jan. 23, 2023

President: Democratic primary, 2024

442LV
Jan.19-24
442LV
M. Obama
15%
M. Obama
15%

M. Obama

15%

Harris

15%

Buttigieg

8%

H. Clinton

8%

Newsom

7%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Sanders

5%

Warren

5%

O'Rourke

3%

Booker

2%

Klobuchar

2%

Manchin

2%

Adams

1%

Patrick

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Gillibrand

1%

Hickenlooper

1%

Steyer

1%

Polis

1%

Markle

1%

Kaine

0%
15%
HarrisEven
442LV
Jan.19-24
442LV
Biden
25%
Biden
25%

Biden

25%

M. Obama

14%

Buttigieg

7%

Newsom

7%

Harris

6%

H. Clinton

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Sanders

5%

Warren

4%

O'Rourke

2%

Klobuchar

2%

Polis

2%

Booker

1%

Manchin

1%

Kaine

1%

Gillibrand

1%

P. Murphy

0%

Adams

0%

Hickenlooper

0%

Patrick

0%

Steyer

0%

Markle

0%
14%
M. ObamaBiden+11

Jan. 22, 2023

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

346LV
Jan.19-23
346LV
Buttigieg
23%
Buttigieg
23%

Buttigieg

23%

Biden

19%

Warren

18%

Sanders

16%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Klobuchar

5%

Harris

2%

Newsom

1%

Warnock

1%

H. Clinton

0%

Polis

0%

Pritzker

0%

Whitmer

0%
19%
BidenButtigieg+4

President: Democratic primary, 2024

827RV
Jan.19-23
827RV
Harris
33%
Harris
33%

Harris

33%

H. Clinton

18%

Newsom

10%

Buttigieg

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Warren

6%

Abrams

6%

Klobuchar

2%

Pritzker

2%
18%
H. ClintonHarris+15
987A
Jan.19-23
987A
Harris
33%
Harris
33%

Harris

33%

H. Clinton

19%

Newsom

9%

Buttigieg

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Warren

6%

Abrams

5%

Klobuchar

3%

Pritzker

2%
19%
H. ClintonHarris+14

Jan. 19, 2023

President: Democratic primary, 2024

447A
Jan.18-20
447A
Harris
29%
Harris
29%

Harris

29%

Sanders

19%

Buttigieg

14%

Newsom

8%

Warren

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Klobuchar

5%

Whitmer

4%

Shapiro

3%
19%
SandersHarris+11
447A
Jan.18-20
447A
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Harris

14%

Sanders

13%

Buttigieg

9%

Warren

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Newsom

5%

Klobuchar

4%

Whitmer

3%

Shapiro

3%
14%
HarrisBiden+20
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