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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, 2020

Apr.27-28
Biden
54%
Biden
54%

Biden

54%

Sanders

17%
17%
Sanders  Biden+37
479LV
Apr.26-28
479LV
Biden
68%
Biden
68%

Biden

68%

Sanders

24%
24%
Sanders  Biden+44
585LV
Apr.12-14
585LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Sanders

31%
31%
Sanders  Biden+18
586LV
Apr.5-7
586LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Sanders

28%
28%
Sanders  Biden+21
462RV
Apr.3-6
462RV
Biden
65%
Biden
65%

Biden

65%

Sanders

30%
30%
Sanders  Biden+35
13,346LV
Mar.30-Apr.5
13,346LV
Biden
61%
Biden
61%

Biden

61%

Sanders

36%
36%
Sanders  Biden+25
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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