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Who’s ahead in the California presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, California, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
347RV
Feb. 29-March 3
347RV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Biden
86%
 Biden
86%

Biden

86%

Phillips

4%
4%
Phillips  Biden+82
Feb. 24-27
570LV
Feb. 24-27
570LV
Emerson College
 Biden
80%
 Biden
80%

Biden

80%

Phillips

6%
6%
Phillips  Biden+73
Feb. 16-18
562LV
Feb. 16-18
562LV
Emerson College
 Biden
75%
 Biden
75%

Biden

75%

Phillips

9%
9%
Phillips  Biden+67
Jan. 21-29
792LV
Jan. 21-29
792LV
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly Pomona
 Biden
78%
 Biden
78%

Biden

78%

Phillips

6%

Williamson

6%
6%
 PhillipsBiden+72
Jan. 11-14
578LV
Jan. 11-14
578LV
Emerson College
 Biden
72%
 Biden
72%

Biden

72%

Williamson

5%

Phillips

3%
5%
 WilliamsonBiden+67
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