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Who’s ahead in the Michigan presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, Michigan, 2024

Feb. 20-24
406LV
Feb. 20-24
406LV
Emerson College
 Biden
77%
 Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+69
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Target Insyght
 Biden
73%
 Biden
73%

Biden

73%

Williamson

9%

Phillips

3%
9%
 WilliamsonBiden+64
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Target Insyght
 Whitmer
34%
 Whitmer
34%

Whitmer

34%

Newsom

18%

Harris

13%

Buttigieg

9%

Shapiro

8%

Polis

7%

Phillips

2%

Sanders

2%
18%
 NewsomWhitmer+16
Dec. 7-11
460LV
Dec. 7-11
460LV
Monmouth University Polling Institute/The Washington Post
 Biden
79%
 Biden
79%

Biden

79%

Williamson

9%

Phillips

5%
9%
 WilliamsonBiden+70
Nov. 16-19
587LV
Nov. 16-19
587LV
Big Data Poll
 Biden
68%
 Biden
68%

Biden

68%

Williamson

4%

Phillips

1%
4%
 WilliamsonBiden+64
Nov. 16-19
596RV
Nov. 16-19
596RV
Big Data Poll
 Biden
68%
 Biden
68%

Biden

68%

Williamson

4%

Phillips

2%
4%
 WilliamsonBiden+64
Aug. 1-2
503LV
Aug. 1-2
503LV
Emerson College
 Biden
65%
 Biden
65%

Biden

65%

Kennedy

11%

Williamson

5%
11%
 KennedyBiden+55
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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