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Who’s ahead in the Michigan presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, Michigan, 2024

Feb. 20-24, 2024
406LV
Feb. 20-24, 2024
406LV
Emerson College
 Biden
77%
 Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+69
Jan. 4-10, 2024
600LV
Jan. 4-10, 2024
600LV
Target Insyght
 Biden
73%
 Biden
73%

Biden

73%

Williamson

9%

Phillips

3%
9%
 WilliamsonBiden+64
Jan. 4-10, 2024
600LV
Jan. 4-10, 2024
600LV
Target Insyght
 Whitmer
34%
 Whitmer
34%

Whitmer

34%

Newsom

18%

Harris

13%

Buttigieg

9%

Shapiro

8%

Polis

7%

Phillips

2%

Sanders

2%
18%
 NewsomWhitmer+16
Dec. 7-11, 2023
460LV
Dec. 7-11, 2023
460LV
Monmouth University Polling Institute/The Washington Post
 Biden
79%
 Biden
79%

Biden

79%

Williamson

9%

Phillips

5%
9%
 WilliamsonBiden+70
Nov. 16-19, 2023
587LV
Nov. 16-19, 2023
587LV
Big Data Poll
 Biden
68%
 Biden
68%

Biden

68%

Williamson

4%

Phillips

1%
4%
 WilliamsonBiden+64
Nov. 16-19, 2023
596RV
Nov. 16-19, 2023
596RV
Big Data Poll
 Biden
68%
 Biden
68%

Biden

68%

Williamson

4%

Phillips

2%
4%
 WilliamsonBiden+64
Aug. 1-2, 2023
503LV
Aug. 1-2, 2023
503LV
Emerson College
 Biden
65%
 Biden
65%

Biden

65%

Kennedy

11%

Williamson

5%
11%
 KennedyBiden+55
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