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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, Minnesota, 2024

Feb. 23-28
501LV
Feb. 23-28
501LV
Biden
76%
Biden
76%

Biden

76%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+69
Jan. 24-29
522LV
Jan. 24-29
522LV
Biden
70%
Biden
70%

Biden

70%

Phillips

9%

Williamson

3%
9%
PhillipsBiden+61
Nov. 18-23
349LV
Nov. 18-23
349LV
Biden
60%
Biden
60%

Biden

60%

Phillips

9%

Williamson

2%
9%
PhillipsBiden+51
Nov. 18-23
357RV
Nov. 18-23
357RV
Biden
60%
Biden
60%

Biden

60%

Phillips

9%

Williamson

3%
9%
PhillipsBiden+51
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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