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Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

Jan. 18-20
467LV
Jan. 18-20
467LV
Emerson College
 Biden
61%
 Biden
61%

Biden

61%

Phillips

16%

Williamson

5%
16%
 PhillipsBiden+45
Jan. 18-20
600LV
Jan. 18-20
600LV
American Research Group
 Biden
54%
 Biden
54%

Biden

54%

Phillips

32%

Williamson

3%
32%
 PhillipsBiden+22
Jan. 16-19
775LV
Jan. 16-19
775LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Biden
63%
 Biden
63%

Biden

63%

Phillips

10%

Williamson

9%
10%
 PhillipsBiden+53
Jan. 12-15
600LV
Jan. 12-15
600LV
American Research Group
 Biden
58%
 Biden
58%

Biden

58%

Phillips

28%

Williamson

3%
28%
 PhillipsBiden+30
Jan. 8-10
590LV
Jan. 8-10
590LV
Emerson College
 Biden
49%
 Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Phillips

16%

Williamson

5%
16%
 PhillipsBiden+33
Jan. 4-8
643LV
Jan. 4-8
643LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Biden
69%
 Biden
69%

Biden

69%

Phillips

7%

Williamson

6%
7%
 PhillipsBiden+62
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