UPDATED Aug. 11, 2022, at 8:18 PM

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 27, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

697RV
Jul.27-28
697RV
Harris
23%
Harris
23%

Harris

23%

H. Clinton

16%

Sanders

8%

Buttigieg

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Abrams

5%

Manchin

4%

Bloomberg

4%

Warren

4%

Klobuchar

4%
16%
H. ClintonHarris+7
697RV
Jul.27-28
697RV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Harris

12%

H. Clinton

9%

Sanders

8%

Buttigieg

5%

Warren

4%

Abrams

4%

Manchin

3%

Ocasio-Cortez

3%

Klobuchar

3%

Bloomberg

2%
12%
HarrisBiden+19

July 24, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

440RV
Jul.22-25
440RV
Harris
18%
Harris
18%

Harris

18%

Sanders

18%

Buttigieg

16%

Klobuchar

11%

Ocasio-Cortez

10%

Newsom

8%

H. Clinton

8%
18%
SandersEven

President: Democratic primary, New Hampshire, 2024

429LV
Jul.21-25
429LV
Buttigieg
17%
Buttigieg
17%

Buttigieg

17%

Biden

16%

Newsom

10%

Warren

10%

Klobuchar

9%

Sanders

8%

Harris

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Abrams

3%

H. Clinton

3%

Booker

2%

C. Murphy

1%

Whitmer

1%

Polis

0%

Pritzker

0%

Raimondo

0%
16%
BidenButtigieg+1

July 17, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

500RV
Jul.15-18
500RV
Harris
55%
Harris
55%

Harris

55%

Newsom

27%
27%
Newsom  Harris+28
493LV
Jul.15-18
493LV
Harris
56%
Harris
56%

Harris

56%

Newsom

28%
28%
Newsom  Harris+28
500RV
Jul.15-18
500RV
Biden
56%
Biden
56%

Biden

56%

Newsom

28%
28%
Newsom  Biden+28
493LV
Jul.15-18
493LV
Biden
56%
Biden
56%

Biden

56%

Newsom

29%
29%
Newsom  Biden+27
500RV
Jul.15-18
500RV
Harris
27%
Harris
27%

Harris

27%

Buttigieg

10%

Abrams

7%

Warren

7%

Newsom

7%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Booker

4%

Klobuchar

3%

Whitmer

2%

Pritzker

2%

Warnock

2%

Raimondo

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Adams

1%

Polis

1%

Beshear

0%

Sinema

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%
10%
ButtigiegHarris+17
493LV
Jul.15-18
493LV
Harris
26%
Harris
26%

Harris

26%

Buttigieg

13%

Warren

7%

Newsom

7%

Abrams

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Booker

5%

Klobuchar

3%

Pritzker

2%

Whitmer

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Adams

1%

Polis

1%

Warnock

1%

Beshear

0%

Sinema

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%
13%
ButtigiegHarris+13

July 15, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

112A
Jul.15-16
112A
Harris
23%
Harris
23%

Harris

23%

H. Clinton

14%

Newsom

9%

Buttigieg

6%

Abrams

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Warren

3%

Pritzker

1%
14%
H. ClintonHarris+9

July 10, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

581RV
Jul.8-11
581RV
Biden
29%
Biden
29%

Biden

29%

Harris

15%
15%
Harris  Biden+14
686A
Jul.8-11
686A
Biden
27%
Biden
27%

Biden

27%

Harris

19%
19%
Harris  Biden+8
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