See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 29, 2020, at 2:23 PM

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Who’s ahead in Arizona?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Average as of 1601403792000

Active Candidates
    Dropouts

      Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

      Added March 17, 2020

      DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 16, 2020
      1,167 LV
      Mar 16, 2020
      1,167LVBiden
      53%

      Biden

      53%

      Sanders

      29%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreBiden+24

      Key

      A = ADULTS

      RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

      V = VOTERS

      LV = LIKELY VOTERS

      March 16, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 10-15, 2020
      523 LV
      Mar 10-15, 2020
      523LVBiden
      53%

      Biden

      53%

      Sanders

      36%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreBiden+17
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 10-15, 2020
      913 RV
      Mar 10-15, 2020
      913RVBiden
      50%

      Biden

      50%

      Sanders

      37%

      Gabbard

      2%
      MoreBiden+13
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 11-14, 2020
      373 LV
      Mar 11-14, 2020
      373LVBiden
      51%

      Biden

      51%

      Sanders

      31%

      Bloomberg

      5%

      Warren

      3%

      Buttigieg

      3%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Klobuchar

      1%
      MoreBiden+20

      March 13, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 6-11, 2020
      541 LV
      Mar 6-11, 2020
      541LVBiden
      57%

      Biden

      57%

      Sanders

      38%
      38%
      SandersBiden+19
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 6-11, 2020
      541 LV
      Mar 6-11, 2020
      541LVBiden
      51%

      Biden

      51%

      Sanders

      34%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreBiden+17

      March 9, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 3-4, 2020
      398 LV
      Mar 3-4, 2020
      398LVBiden
      45%

      Biden

      45%

      Sanders

      17%

      Warren

      13%

      Bloomberg

      12%
      MoreBiden+28

      Nov. 19, 2019

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Oct 31-Nov 8, 2019
      260 LV
      Oct 31-Nov 8, 2019
      260LVBiden
      29%

      Biden

      29%

      Warren

      18%

      Sanders

      16%

      Buttigieg

      9%

      Harris

      5%

      Yang

      4%

      Klobuchar

      2%

      Booker

      2%

      Castro

      2%

      O'Rourke

      1%

      Bennet

      1%

      Steyer

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Delaney

      0%

      Williamson

      0%

      Bullock

      0%
      MoreBiden+11
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