See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 6, 2020, at 3:25 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Average as of 1594063512000

Active Candidates
    Dropouts

      Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

      Added March 3, 2020

      DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Mar 1-2, 2020
      3,388 LV
      Mar 1-2, 2020
      3,388LVSanders
      29%

      Sanders

      29%

      Biden

      21%

      Bloomberg

      19%

      Warren

      10%

      Buttigieg

      8%

      Steyer

      4%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      Gabbard

      0%
      MoreSanders+8
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 28-Mar 2, 2020
      516 LV
      Feb 28-Mar 2, 2020
      516LVSanders
      32%

      Sanders

      32%

      Biden

      25%

      Bloomberg

      17%

      Warren

      16%

      Buttigieg

      5%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      Gabbard

      2%

      Steyer

      0%
      MoreSanders+7

      Key

      A = ADULTS

      RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

      V = VOTERS

      LV = LIKELY VOTERS

      March 2, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 24-Mar 2, 2020
      727 LV
      Feb 24-Mar 2, 2020
      727LVSanders
      34%

      Sanders

      34%

      Biden

      26%

      Warren

      15%

      Bloomberg

      15%

      Buttigieg

      3%

      Klobuchar

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreSanders+8
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220 LV
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220LVSanders
      43%

      Sanders

      43%

      Warren

      40%
      40%
      WarrenSanders+3
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220 LV
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220LVSanders
      56%

      Sanders

      56%

      Bloomberg

      30%
      30%
      BloombergSanders+26
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220 LV
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220LVSanders
      48%

      Sanders

      48%

      Biden

      41%
      41%
      BidenSanders+8
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220 LV
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      1,220LVSanders
      34%

      Sanders

      34%

      Biden

      22%

      Warren

      14%

      Bloomberg

      10%

      Buttigieg

      6%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      Steyer

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreSanders+12
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      545 LV
      Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020
      545LVSanders
      38%

      Sanders

      38%

      Biden

      21%

      Warren

      16%

      Bloomberg

      11%

      Buttigieg

      7%

      Klobuchar

      5%

      Steyer

      2%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreSanders+17
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      1,020 LV
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      1,020LVSanders
      28%

      Sanders

      28%

      Biden

      19%

      Warren

      18%

      Bloomberg

      13%

      Buttigieg

      9%

      Klobuchar

      6%

      Steyer

      4%

      Gabbard

      3%
      MoreSanders+9

      March 1, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 27-29, 2020
      1,411 LV
      Feb 27-29, 2020
      1,411LVSanders
      31%

      Sanders

      31%

      Biden

      19%

      Warren

      18%

      Bloomberg

      12%

      Buttigieg

      9%

      Klobuchar

      4%

      Steyer

      3%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreSanders+12
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 26-29, 2020
      500 LV
      Feb 26-29, 2020
      500LVSanders
      35%

      Sanders

      35%

      Bloomberg

      16%

      Biden

      14%

      Warren

      12%

      Buttigieg

      7%

      Klobuchar

      5%

      Steyer

      3%

      Gabbard

      3%
      MoreSanders+19

      Feb. 29, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276 LV
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276LVSanders
      46%

      Sanders

      46%

      Warren

      36%
      36%
      WarrenSanders+10
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276 LV
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276LVSanders
      57%

      Sanders

      57%

      Bloomberg

      32%
      32%
      BloombergSanders+25
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276 LV
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276LVSanders
      50%

      Sanders

      50%

      Biden

      40%
      40%
      BidenSanders+10
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276 LV
      Feb 26-28, 2020
      2,276LVSanders
      34%

      Sanders

      34%

      Warren

      14%

      Biden

      14%

      Bloomberg

      12%

      Buttigieg

      9%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      Steyer

      3%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreSanders+20

      Feb. 28, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 22-26, 2020
      488 LV
      Feb 22-26, 2020
      488LVSanders
      35%

      Sanders

      35%

      Warren

      14%

      Biden

      13%

      Bloomberg

      12%

      Buttigieg

      7%

      Klobuchar

      6%

      Steyer

      3%

      Gabbard

      1%
      MoreSanders+21
      President: Democratic primary
      Calif.Calif.
      Feb 20-25, 2020
      3,002 LV
      Feb 20-25, 2020
      3,002LVSanders
      34%

      Sanders

      34%

      Warren

      17%

      Bloomberg

      12%

      Buttigieg

      11%

      Biden

      8%

      Klobuchar

      6%

      Steyer

      2%

      Yang

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Booker

      0%

      De La Fuente

      0%

      Bennet

      0%

      Delaney

      0%

      Williamson

      0%

      Castro

      0%

      Boyd

      0%

      Ellinger

      0%

      Stewart Greenstein

      0%

      Patrick

      0%

      Sestak

      0%
      MoreSanders+16
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