UPDATED Sep. 30, 2022, at 7:47 PM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 17, 2022

Jan. 28, 2022

President: Democratic primary, Florida, 2024

164LV
Jan.26-29
164LV
H. Clinton
46%
H. Clinton
46%

H. Clinton

46%

Biden

43%
43%
Biden  H. Clinton+4

Sept. 17, 2021

President: Democratic primary, Florida, 2024

174LV
Sep.16-18
174LV
Biden
60%
Biden
60%

Biden

60%

Harris

17%
17%
Harris  Biden+43

March 15, 2020

President: Democratic primary, Florida, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,608LV
Mar.16
1,608LV
Biden
64%
Biden
64%

Biden

64%

Sanders

25%

Gabbard

2%
25%
SandersBiden+39
532LV
Mar.14-16
532LV
Biden
67%
Biden
67%

Biden

67%

Sanders

27%

Gabbard

2%
27%
SandersBiden+40

March 12, 2020

President: Democratic primary, Florida, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

3,165LV
Mar.11-13
3,165LV
Biden
61%
Biden
61%

Biden

61%

Sanders

32%
32%
Sanders  Biden+29
3,165LV
Mar.11-13
3,165LV
Biden
57%
Biden
57%

Biden

57%

Sanders

29%

Warren

4%

Bloomberg

2%

Buttigieg

2%

Gabbard

1%

Klobuchar

0%

Steyer

0%
29%
SandersBiden+29
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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