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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Dec. 17, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

466A
Dec.16-18
466A
Harris
35%
Harris
35%

Harris

35%

Sanders

16%

Buttigieg

10%

Warren

8%

Newsom

7%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Klobuchar

5%

Shapiro

3%

Whitmer

3%
16%
SandersHarris+18
466A
Dec.16-18
466A
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Harris

18%

Sanders

11%

Buttigieg

8%

Warren

5%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Newsom

4%

Klobuchar

3%

Whitmer

2%

Shapiro

1%
18%
HarrisBiden+19

Dec. 14, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

685RV
Dec.14-15
685RV
Harris
23%
Harris
23%

Harris

23%

H. Clinton

14%

Sanders

11%

Buttigieg

9%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Warren

5%

Manchin

4%

Bloomberg

4%

Klobuchar

4%

Abrams

3%

Cuomo

2%
14%
H. ClintonHarris+9
685RV
Dec.14-15
685RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Harris

10%

Sanders

7%

H. Clinton

7%

Buttigieg

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Warren

3%

Bloomberg

3%

Klobuchar

3%

Abrams

3%

Manchin

2%

Cuomo

2%
10%
HarrisBiden+26

Dec. 13, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

523RV
Dec.12-14
523RV
Harris
24%
Harris
24%

Harris

24%

Buttigieg

11%

Klobuchar

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Warren

5%

Newsom

5%

Abrams

3%

Whitmer

3%

Booker

3%

Pritzker

3%

Warnock

3%

Beshear

1%

Raimondo

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Adams

1%

Polis

1%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%
11%
ButtigiegHarris+13
476LV
Dec.12-14
476LV
Harris
26%
Harris
26%

Harris

26%

Buttigieg

12%

Newsom

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Klobuchar

5%

Warren

5%

Abrams

3%

Whitmer

3%

Booker

3%

Pritzker

2%

Warnock

2%

Cooper

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Adams

1%

Polis

1%

Beshear

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%
12%
ButtigiegHarris+14
455LV
Dec.9-14
455LV
M. Obama
21%
M. Obama
21%

M. Obama

21%

Harris

13%

Sanders

9%

H. Clinton

8%

Buttigieg

6%

Warren

5%

Ocasio-Cortez

4%

O'Rourke

4%

Newsom

4%

Klobuchar

3%

Winfrey

3%

Manchin

2%

Booker

1%

Kaine

1%

Gillibrand

1%

Adams

0%

Patrick

0%

P. Murphy

0%

Hickenlooper

0%

Steyer

0%

Polis

0%
13%
HarrisM. Obama+8
455LV
Dec.9-14
455LV
Biden
22%
Biden
22%

Biden

22%

M. Obama

18%

Harris

8%

Sanders

8%

Buttigieg

6%

H. Clinton

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

4%

O'Rourke

3%

Newsom

3%

Booker

2%

Klobuchar

2%

Warren

2%

Winfrey

1%

Manchin

1%

P. Murphy

0%

Kaine

0%

Adams

0%

Hickenlooper

0%

Patrick

0%

Gillibrand

0%

Steyer

0%

Polis

0%
18%
M. ObamaBiden+4

Dec. 7, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

519RV
Dec.6-8
519RV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Harris

17%

Buttigieg

16%
17%
HarrisBiden+18

Dec. 4, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

588RV
Dec.1-5
588RV
Harris
19%
Harris
19%

Harris

19%

Buttigieg

14%

Sanders

13%

Newsom

10%

Warren

7%

Whitmer

7%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%
14%
ButtigiegHarris+5
724A
Dec.1-5
724A
Harris
18%
Harris
18%

Harris

18%

Buttigieg

12%

Sanders

11%

Newsom

9%

Warren

7%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Whitmer

6%
12%
ButtigiegHarris+6
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