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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 8, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

460A
May 5-9
460A
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Sanders

17%

Harris

12%

Warren

9%

Buttigieg

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

H. Clinton

6%
17%
SandersBiden+16

April 25, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

463LV
Apr.22-26
463LV
M. Obama
23%
M. Obama
23%

M. Obama

23%

Harris

17%

Buttigieg

9%

H. Clinton

9%

Abrams

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

4%

Klobuchar

4%

Booker

3%

Cuomo

2%

Newsom

2%

O'Rourke

1%

Kaine

1%

Steyer

1%

Manchin

1%

Adams

1%

Hickenlooper

0%

Gillibrand

0%

Patrick

0%

P. Murphy

0%
17%
HarrisM. Obama+6
463LV
Apr.22-26
463LV
Biden
30%
Biden
30%

Biden

30%

M. Obama

17%

Harris

7%

Buttigieg

7%

Abrams

4%

Ocasio-Cortez

4%

H. Clinton

4%

Booker

3%

Klobuchar

2%

Cuomo

2%

O'Rourke

1%

Newsom

1%

Kaine

1%

Manchin

1%

Hickenlooper

0%

Gillibrand

0%

Patrick

0%

Steyer

0%

Adams

0%

P. Murphy

0%
17%
M. ObamaBiden+13

April 20, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

727RV
Apr.20-21
727RV
Harris
31%
Harris
31%

Harris

31%

H. Clinton

14%

Sanders

10%

Buttigieg

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Abrams

5%

Warren

5%

Manchin

4%

Klobuchar

3%
14%
H. ClintonHarris+17
727RV
Apr.20-21
727RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Harris

14%

Sanders

9%

H. Clinton

7%

Buttigieg

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

3%

Abrams

3%

Warren

3%

Manchin

3%

Klobuchar

1%
14%
HarrisBiden+23

April 19, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

469RV
Apr.18-20
469RV
Harris
31%
Harris
31%

Harris

31%

Buttigieg

10%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Booker

6%

Warren

6%

Abrams

5%

Klobuchar

3%

Gabbard

2%

Whitmer

1%

Manchin

1%

Newsom

1%

Cooper

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Pritzker

1%

Polis

1%

Beshear

0%

Sinema

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%

Adams

0%
10%
ButtigiegHarris+21
456LV
Apr.18-20
456LV
Harris
30%
Harris
30%

Harris

30%

Buttigieg

11%

Booker

7%

Abrams

6%

Warren

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Klobuchar

4%

Gabbard

2%

Whitmer

1%

Manchin

1%

Newsom

1%

Cooper

1%

P. Murphy

1%

Beshear

0%

Sinema

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%

Pritzker

0%

Adams

0%

Polis

0%
11%
ButtigiegHarris+19

April 5, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

Apr.4-6
Biden
29%
Biden
29%

Biden

29%

Harris

12%

Sanders

7%

M. Obama

7%

H. Clinton

5%

Buttigieg

4%

Abrams

4%

Booker

4%

Warren

3%

Ocasio-Cortez

2%

Kennedy

2%

Newsom

2%

Whitmer

2%

Gabbard

1%

Klobuchar

1%

Bennet

1%

Inslee

1%

Pritzker

0%

Lujan Grisham

0%
12%
HarrisBiden+17
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