See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 3, 2020, at 6:38 PM

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Average as of 1596494293000

Active Candidates
    Dropouts

      Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

       

      DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Feb 15-16, 2020
      Feb 15-16, 2020
      Sanders
      23%

      Sanders

      23%

      Bloomberg

      16%

      Biden

      13%

      Buttigieg

      9%

      Warren

      9%

      Klobuchar

      6%

      Steyer

      3%

      Gabbard

      2%
      MoreSanders+7
      President: Democratic primary

      Jan 31-Feb 2, 2020
      Jan 31-Feb 2, 2020
      Biden
      24%

      Biden

      24%

      Sanders

      17%

      Bloomberg

      13%

      Warren

      8%

      Buttigieg

      5%

      Yang

      5%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      Bennet

      2%

      Gabbard

      2%

      Steyer

      2%

      Patrick

      1%
      MoreBiden+7
      President: Democratic primary

      Jan 21-22, 2020
      Jan 21-22, 2020
      Biden
      20%

      Biden

      20%

      Sanders

      16%

      Bloomberg

      9%

      Warren

      9%

      Buttigieg

      6%

      Yang

      5%

      Klobuchar

      4%

      Gabbard

      3%

      Steyer

      3%

      Bennet

      1%

      Delaney

      1%

      Patrick

      1%
      MoreBiden+4

      Key

      A = ADULTS

      RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

      V = VOTERS

      LV = LIKELY VOTERS

      July 22, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Dec 28-30, 2019
      Dec 28-30, 2019
      Biden
      28%

      Biden

      28%

      Sanders

      11%

      Warren

      9%

      Bloomberg

      7%

      Buttigieg

      5%

      Booker

      3%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      Yang

      3%

      Steyer

      2%

      Bennet

      1%

      Castro

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Delaney

      0%

      Patrick

      0%

      Williamson

      0%
      MoreBiden+17

      May 29, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Oct 18-21, 2019
      Oct 18-21, 2019
      Biden
      27%

      Biden

      27%

      Warren

      17%

      Sanders

      10%

      Buttigieg

      5%

      Harris

      3%

      Yang

      3%

      Gabbard

      2%

      O'Rourke

      2%

      Booker

      1%

      Castro

      1%

      Klobuchar

      1%

      Ryan

      1%

      Williamson

      1%

      Bennet

      0%

      Bullock

      0%

      Delaney

      0%

      Sestak

      0%

      Steyer

      0%
      MoreBiden+10
      President: Democratic primary

      Sep 30-Oct 2, 2019
      Sep 30-Oct 2, 2019
      Biden
      29%

      Biden

      29%

      Sanders

      12%

      Warren

      11%

      Buttigieg

      4%

      Harris

      4%

      Castro

      2%

      O'Rourke

      2%

      Booker

      1%

      Bullock

      1%

      Delaney

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Klobuchar

      1%

      Ryan

      1%

      Steyer

      1%

      Williamson

      1%

      Yang

      1%

      Bennet

      0%

      Sestak

      0%
      MoreBiden+17
      President: Democratic primary

      Aug 31-Sep 1, 2019
      Aug 31-Sep 1, 2019
      Biden
      30%

      Biden

      30%

      Sanders

      12%

      Warren

      11%

      Harris

      5%

      Buttigieg

      4%

      Booker

      2%

      O'Rourke

      2%

      Yang

      2%

      Bullock

      1%

      Castro

      1%

      de Blasio

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Klobuchar

      1%

      Ryan

      1%

      Steyer

      1%

      Williamson

      1%

      Bennet

      0%

      Delaney

      0%

      Sestak

      0%
      MoreBiden+18

      April 28, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Apr 26-28, 2020
      479 LV
      Apr 26-28, 2020
      479LVBiden
      68%

      Biden

      68%

      Sanders

      24%
      24%
      SandersBiden+44

      April 15, 2020

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Apr 12-14, 2020
      585 LV
      Apr 12-14, 2020
      585LVBiden
      49%

      Biden

      49%

      Sanders

      31%
      31%
      SandersBiden+18
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