See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 20, 2021, at 5:19 PM

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Average as of 1634764762000

Active Candidates
    Dropouts

      Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

      Added today

      DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Oct 15-19, 2021
      533 RV
      Oct 15-19, 2021
      533RVHarris
      23%

      Harris

      23%

      Sanders

      16%

      Buttigieg

      9%

      Warren

      6%

      Ocasio-Cortez

      5%

      Abrams

      5%

      Klobuchar

      4%

      Booker

      4%

      Newsom

      3%

      Manchin

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Beshear

      0%

      Whitmer

      0%

      Sinema

      0%
      MoreHarris+7
      President: Democratic primary

      Oct 14-18, 2021
      473 LV
      Oct 14-18, 2021
      473LVHarris
      29%

      Harris

      29%

      M. Obama

      18%

      Buttigieg

      9%

      Ocasio-Cortez

      7%

      Abrams

      5%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      O'Rourke

      3%

      Booker

      3%

      Cuomo

      2%

      Newsom

      2%

      Manchin

      2%

      Hickenlooper

      1%

      Gillibrand

      1%

      Patrick

      1%

      Kaine

      1%

      Steyer

      1%

      Omar

      0%
      MoreHarris+11

      Key

      A = ADULTS

      RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

      V = VOTERS

      LV = LIKELY VOTERS

      Sept. 14, 2021

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Sep 9-14, 2021
      476 LV
      Sep 9-14, 2021
      476LVHarris
      29%

      Harris

      29%

      M. Obama

      17%

      Ocasio-Cortez

      7%

      Buttigieg

      7%

      Abrams

      5%

      Booker

      4%

      Klobuchar

      3%

      O'Rourke

      3%

      Cuomo

      2%

      Newsom

      2%

      Gillibrand

      1%

      Patrick

      1%

      Steyer

      1%

      Hickenlooper

      0%

      Kaine

      0%

      Omar

      0%
      MoreHarris+12

      Aug. 19, 2021

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Aug 13-18, 2021
      514 RV
      Aug 13-18, 2021
      514RVHarris
      33%

      Harris

      33%

      Buttigieg

      11%

      Ocasio-Cortez

      8%

      Abrams

      6%

      Booker

      6%

      Warren

      5%

      Klobuchar

      2%

      Yang

      2%

      Newsom

      2%

      O'Rourke

      2%

      Beshear

      1%

      Whitmer

      1%

      Gabbard

      1%

      Gillibrand

      1%

      Sinema

      0%
      MoreHarris+22

      Aug. 11, 2021

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Jul 30-Aug 2, 2021
      697 A
      Jul 30-Aug 2, 2021
      697AHarris
      44%

      Harris

      44%

      Sanders

      10%

      Buttigieg

      6%

      Warren

      6%

      Ocasio-Cortez

      4%

      Abrams

      4%

      Brown

      2%
      MoreHarris+34

      Aug. 9, 2021

      President: Democratic primary
      President: Democratic primary

      Jul 29-Aug 3, 2021
      467 LV
      Jul 29-Aug 3, 2021
      467LVHarris
      28%

      Harris

      28%

      M. Obama

      16%

      Buttigieg

      8%

      Ocasio-Cortez

      7%

      Booker

      5%

      Abrams

      4%

      Yang

      4%

      Cuomo

      4%

      Patrick

      3%

      Klobuchar

      2%

      O'Rourke

      2%

      Hickenlooper

      2%

      Newsom

      2%

      Gillibrand

      1%

      Kaine

      1%

      Omar

      0%
      MoreHarris+12
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