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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 18, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

591RV
Nov.18-19
591RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Harris

17%

Sanders

12%

Buttigieg

9%

Warren

7%

Newsom

6%

Whitmer

2%

Polis

2%
17%
HarrisBiden+25
496RV
Nov.17-19
496RV
Harris
21%
Harris
21%

Harris

21%

Buttigieg

13%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Warren

7%

Newsom

6%

Whitmer

4%

Booker

4%

Abrams

3%

Klobuchar

2%

P. Murphy

2%

Beshear

1%

Warnock

1%

Sinema

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%

Pritzker

0%

Adams

0%

Polis

0%
13%
ButtigiegHarris+8
496LV
Nov.17-19
496LV
Harris
23%
Harris
23%

Harris

23%

Buttigieg

12%

Warren

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Newsom

6%

Klobuchar

4%

Booker

4%

Whitmer

3%

Abrams

2%

P. Murphy

2%

Beshear

1%

Warnock

1%

Sinema

0%

Cooper

0%

Landrieu

0%

Raimondo

0%

Pritzker

0%

Adams

0%

Polis

0%
12%
ButtigiegHarris+11

Nov. 16, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

Nov.16-17
Harris
24%
Harris
24%

Harris

24%

H. Clinton

13%

Sanders

11%

Buttigieg

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Warren

6%

Klobuchar

4%

Abrams

4%

Manchin

3%

Bloomberg

3%
13%
H. ClintonHarris+11
Nov.16-17
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Harris

13%

Sanders

9%

Buttigieg

6%

H. Clinton

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

4%

Warren

3%

Abrams

3%

Klobuchar

3%

Manchin

2%

Bloomberg

2%
13%
HarrisBiden+22

Nov. 10, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

859LV
Nov.9-11
859LV
Harris
32%
Harris
32%

Harris

32%

Sanders

13%

Buttigieg

10%

Newsom

10%

Warren

9%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Abrams

5%
13%
SandersHarris+19
859LV
Nov.9-11
859LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Harris

11%

Sanders

10%

Buttigieg

9%

Newsom

6%

Warren

5%

Ocasio-Cortez

3%

Abrams

2%
11%
HarrisBiden+29

Nov. 9, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

446A
Nov.9-10
446A
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Harris

25%

Buttigieg

16%

Sanders

16%
25%
HarrisBiden+14

Nov. 3, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

356LV
Nov.2-4
356LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Buttigieg

19%

Harris

19%

Sanders

16%
19%
ButtigiegBiden+23
444A
Nov.2-4
444A
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Harris

21%

Sanders

18%

Buttigieg

16%
21%
HarrisBiden+19
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