UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Sep 9-14, 2021
456 LV
Sep 9-14, 2021
456LVDeSantis
22%

DeSantis

22%

Trump Jr.

19%

Pence

15%

Cruz

7%

Owens

5%

Haley

4%

Romney

4%

Rubio

2%

T. Scott

2%

Kasich

2%

Cheney

2%

Pompeo

2%

Cotton

1%

R. Scott

1%

Noem

1%
MoreDeSantis+3
President: Republican primary

Sep 9-14, 2021
456 LV
Sep 9-14, 2021
456LVTrump Sr.
59%

Trump Sr.

59%

Pence

10%

DeSantis

8%

Cruz

3%

Romney

3%

Haley

2%

Rubio

2%

Kasich

2%

Cheney

2%

Owens

1%

T. Scott

1%

Pompeo

1%

Cotton

1%

R. Scott

1%

Noem

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+49

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 1, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Aug 30-Sep 1, 2021
395 RV
Aug 30-Sep 1, 2021
395RVDeSantis
32%

DeSantis

32%

Pence

24%

Cruz

13%

Haley

10%

Hawley

6%

Romney

6%

Cotton

1%
MoreDeSantis+7
President: Republican primary

Aug 30-Sep 1, 2021
395 RV
Aug 30-Sep 1, 2021
395RVTrump Sr.
67%

Trump Sr.

67%

DeSantis

10%

Haley

7%

Pence

6%

Romney

3%

Cruz

2%

Hawley

1%

Cotton

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+57

Aug. 22, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Fla.
Fla.
Aug 4-10, 2021
280 RV
Aug 4-10, 2021
280RVTrump Sr.
43%

Trump Sr.

43%

DeSantis

34%

Romney

5%

Rubio

3%

Haley

3%

Cruz

2%

Christie

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+9

Aug. 19, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Aug 13-18, 2021
420 RV
Aug 13-18, 2021
420RVDeSantis
25%

DeSantis

25%

Pence

23%

Cruz

9%

Trump Jr.

5%

Haley

5%

Romney

4%

Rubio

3%

Cotton

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hawley

1%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Christie

1%

Carlson

0%

Pompeo

0%

Hogan

0%

Sasse

0%

R. Scott

0%

Cheney

0%

Taylor Greene

0%

Lindell

0%
MoreDeSantis+2

Aug. 11, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Jul 30-Aug 2, 2021
518 A
Jul 30-Aug 2, 2021
518ATrump Sr.
58%

Trump Sr.

58%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

4%

Pence

3%

Carlson

2%

Rubio

1%

Noem

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hawley

0%

Cotton

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+45
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