UPDATED Nov. 19, 2021, at 2:58 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Nov 12-18, 2021
456 RV
Nov 12-18, 2021
456RVDeSantis
26%

DeSantis

26%

Pence

15%

Cruz

10%

Trump Jr.

9%

Haley

6%

Romney

3%

Rubio

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hawley

1%

Abbott

1%

R. Scott

1%

Cheney

1%

Christie

1%

Youngkin

1%

Hogan

0%

Cotton

0%

Sasse

0%

Noem

0%
MoreDeSantis+11
President: Republican primary

Nov 11-16, 2021
450 LV
Nov 11-16, 2021
450LVDeSantis
25%

DeSantis

25%

Trump Jr.

20%

Pence

13%

Cruz

7%

Romney

5%

Haley

4%

Owens

3%

Cheney

2%

Rubio

2%

Pompeo

2%

T. Scott

2%

Noem

1%

Kasich

1%

Abbott

1%

Cotton

0%

R. Scott

0%
MoreDeSantis+5
President: Republican primary

Nov 11-16, 2021
450 LV
Nov 11-16, 2021
450LVTrump Sr.
55%

Trump Sr.

55%

DeSantis

15%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

Cruz

2%

Romney

2%

Cheney

2%

Owens

1%

Rubio

1%

T. Scott

1%

Kasich

1%

Pompeo

1%

Noem

1%

Abbott

1%

Cotton

0%

R. Scott

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+40

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Ariz.
Ariz.
Nov 1-8, 2021
252 RV
Nov 1-8, 2021
252RVDeSantis
29%

DeSantis

29%

Pence

21%

Cruz

10%

Haley

8%

Trump Jr.

8%

Romney

4%

Rubio

2%

Cheney

1%

Christie

0%
MoreDeSantis+8
President: Republican primary Ariz.
Ariz.
Nov 1-8, 2021
252 RV
Nov 1-8, 2021
252RVTrump Sr.
48%

Trump Sr.

48%

DeSantis

16%

Pence

9%

Haley

6%

Romney

3%

Cruz

3%

Rubio

2%

Cheney

1%

Christie

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+32

Nov. 11, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Nov 4-8, 2021
559 A
Nov 4-8, 2021
559ATrump Sr.
44%

Trump Sr.

44%

DeSantis

21%

Haley

5%

Pence

4%

Carlson

3%

Rubio

3%

Youngkin

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+23
President: Republican primary

Oct 8-10, 2021
371 LV
Oct 8-10, 2021
371LVTrump Sr.
59%

Trump Sr.

59%

Pence

12%

DeSantis

7%

Haley

5%

Pompeo

2%

Abbott

2%

Cruz

2%

Rubio

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+47

Nov. 2, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Oct 27-28, 2021
Oct 27-28, 2021
Pence
23%

Pence

23%

DeSantis

21%

Cruz

12%

Haley

9%

T. Scott

5%

Rubio

4%

Pompeo

3%
MorePence+2
President: Republican primary

Oct 27-28, 2021
Oct 27-28, 2021
Trump Sr.
47%

Trump Sr.

47%

DeSantis

10%

Pence

9%

Haley

6%

Cruz

4%

T. Scott

3%

Pompeo

1%

Rubio

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+37

Oct. 24, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Oct 19-21, 2021
629 A
Oct 19-21, 2021
629ATrump Sr.
41%

Trump Sr.

41%

DeSantis

18%

Pence

5%

Haley

4%

Rubio

2%

T. Scott

2%

Carlson

1%

Hawley

1%

Cotton

1%

Noem

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+23
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