See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 27, 2020, at 8:09 PM

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 20, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Mar 18-19, 2020
423 LV
Mar 18-19, 2020
423LVTrump
94%

Trump

94%

Weld

6%
6%
WeldTrump+89

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 10, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Fla.
Fla.
Mar 5-7, 2020
409 LV
Mar 5-7, 2020
409LVTrump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

4%
4%
WeldTrump+89

March 4, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Mar 1-3, 2020
232 LV
Mar 1-3, 2020
232LVTrump
94%

Trump

94%

Weld

2%

De La Fuente

1%
MoreTrump+92

March 2, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 21-28, 2020
246 LV
Feb 21-28, 2020
246LVTrump
91%

Trump

91%

Walsh

4%

Weld

3%
MoreTrump+87
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 21-28, 2020
443 RV
Feb 21-28, 2020
443RVTrump
89%

Trump

89%

Walsh

4%

Weld

4%
MoreTrump+85

March 1, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Feb 23-27, 2020
621 LV
Feb 23-27, 2020
621LVTrump
94%

Trump

94%

Weld

4%
4%
WeldTrump+90
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Feb 23-27, 2020
1,118 RV
Feb 23-27, 2020
1,118RVTrump
91%

Trump

91%

Weld

5%
5%
WeldTrump+86
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 23-27, 2020
410 LV
Feb 23-27, 2020
410LVTrump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

6%
6%
WeldTrump+87
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 23-27, 2020
714 RV
Feb 23-27, 2020
714RVTrump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

8%
8%
WeldTrump+82
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Feb 17-26, 2020
567 LV
Feb 17-26, 2020
567LVTrump
86%

Trump

86%

Weld

6%
6%
WeldTrump+80
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