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Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Feb. 27, 2024

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 24-28
1,114RV
Feb. 24-28
1,114RV
Haley
33%
Haley
33%

Haley

33%

Binkley

4%
4%
Binkley  Haley+29
Feb. 24-28
1,114RV
Feb. 24-28
1,114RV
Trump
79%
Trump
79%

Trump

79%

Haley

12%

Binkley

1%
12%
HaleyTrump+67

Feb. 26, 2024

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 25-27
601RV
Feb. 25-27
601RV
Trump
80%
Trump
80%

Trump

80%

Haley

12%
12%
Haley  Trump+68
Feb. 25-27
638A
Feb. 25-27
638A
Trump
79%
Trump
79%

Trump

79%

Haley

13%
13%
Haley  Trump+66

President: Republican primary, California, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 24-27
342LV
Feb. 24-27
342LV
Trump
75%
Trump
75%

Trump

75%

Haley

17%
17%
Haley  Trump+58

Feb. 25, 2024

President: Republican primary, Ohio, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 25-26
500LV
Feb. 25-26
500LV
Trump
74%
Trump
74%

Trump

74%

Haley

22%
22%
Haley  Trump+52

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 18-26
522LV
Feb. 18-26
522LV
Trump
75%
Trump
75%

Trump

75%

Haley

17%
17%
Haley  Trump+58

Feb. 24, 2024

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 23-25
3,756LV
Feb. 23-25
3,756LV
Trump
81%
Trump
81%

Trump

81%

Haley

18%
18%
Haley  Trump+63
Feb. 23-25
300A
Feb. 23-25
300A
Trump
75%
Trump
75%

Trump

75%

Haley

10%
10%
Haley  Trump+65

Feb. 23, 2024

President: Republican primary, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 20-24
486LV
Feb. 20-24
486LV
Trump
76%
Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

24%
24%
Haley  Trump+51
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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