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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 3, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

3,545RV
Jun.2-4
3,545RV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Ramaswamy

3%

Cheney

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Christie

1%
22%
DeSantisTrump+34

May 31, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 30-Jun.1
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

30%
30%
DeSantis  Trump+28
2,476RV
May 30-Jun.1
2,476RV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

23%

Pence

6%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Ramaswamy

3%

Cheney

2%

Abbott

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Christie

1%

Noem

0%
23%
DeSantisTrump+34
563RV
May 29-Jun.1
563RV
Trump
72%
Trump
72%

Trump

72%

T. Scott

15%
15%
T. Scott  Trump+57
686A
May 29-Jun.1
686A
Trump
73%
Trump
73%

Trump

73%

T. Scott

14%
14%
T. Scott  Trump+59
563RV
May 29-Jun.1
563RV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+29
686A
May 29-Jun.1
686A
Trump
63%
Trump
63%

Trump

63%

DeSantis

28%
28%
DeSantis  Trump+35
563RV
May 29-Jun.1
563RV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

23%

Pence

5%

Cheney

4%

Haley

3%

Cruz

3%

T. Scott

2%

Christie

2%

Pompeo

1%

Ramaswamy

1%
23%
DeSantisTrump+31
686A
May 29-Jun.1
686A
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

20%

Cheney

4%

Pence

4%

Haley

3%

Cruz

3%

T. Scott

2%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%

Ramaswamy

1%
20%
DeSantisTrump+37

President: Republican primary, Nevada, 2024

500LV
May 30-Jun.1
500LV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

21%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Pence

1%

Sununu

0%

Hutchinson

0%
21%
DeSantisTrump+32

May 30, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

397A
May 27-31
397A
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

27%
27%
DeSantis  Trump+25

May 29, 2023

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

1,020LV
May 26-30
1,020LV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

DeSantis

33%
33%
DeSantis  Trump+18
1,020LV
May 26-30
1,020LV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

23%

Cruz

4%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

3%

Hutchinson

2%

Ramaswamy

2%
23%
DeSantisTrump+24

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

407RV
May 25-30
407RV
Trump
72%
Trump
72%

Trump

72%

Youngkin

10%
10%
Youngkin  Trump+62
406RV
May 25-30
406RV
Trump
77%
Trump
77%

Trump

77%

Christie

10%
10%
Christie  Trump+67
395RV
May 25-30
395RV
Trump
70%
Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Haley

18%
18%
Haley  Trump+52
400RV
May 25-30
400RV
Trump
73%
Trump
73%

Trump

73%

Pence

16%
16%
Pence  Trump+57
402RV
May 25-30
402RV
Trump
69%
Trump
69%

Trump

69%

T. Scott

18%
18%
T. Scott  Trump+51
432RV
May 25-30
432RV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+24
432RV
May 25-30
432RV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

25%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Ramaswamy

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Elder

1%
25%
DeSantisTrump+28

May 28, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

2,476RV
May 27-29
2,476RV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

21%

Pence

5%

Haley

4%

Ramaswamy

4%

T. Scott

3%

Cheney

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Christie

0%
21%
DeSantisTrump+37
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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