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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2020

Feb. 21-28
246LV
Feb. 21-28
246LV
Trump
91%
Trump
91%

Trump

91%

Walsh

4%

Weld

3%
4%
WalshTrump+87
Feb. 21-28
443RV
Feb. 21-28
443RV
Trump
89%
Trump
89%

Trump

89%

Walsh

4%

Weld

4%
4%
WalshTrump+85
Feb. 23-27
410LV
Feb. 23-27
410LV
Trump
93%
Trump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

6%
6%
Weld  Trump+87
Feb. 23-27
714RV
Feb. 23-27
714RV
Trump
90%
Trump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

8%
8%
Weld  Trump+82
Feb. 16-24
353LV
Feb. 16-24
353LV
Trump
85%
Trump
85%

Trump

85%

Walsh

3%

Weld

2%
3%
WalshTrump+82
Feb. 13-16
501LV
Feb. 13-16
501LV
Trump
91%
Trump
91%

Trump

91%

Weld

5%
5%
Weld  Trump+86
Jan. 31-Feb. 6
400RV
Jan. 31-Feb. 6
400RV
Trump
88%
Trump
88%

Trump

88%

Walsh

4%

Weld

1%
4%
WalshTrump+84
Jan. 31-Feb. 6
198LV
Jan. 31-Feb. 6
198LV
Trump
91%
Trump
91%

Trump

91%

Walsh

4%

Weld

1%
4%
WalshTrump+87
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