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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 20, 2023

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024

Sep.19-21
400LV
Sep.19-21
400LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

DeSantis

22%

Haley

11%

Ramaswamy

6%

Scott

6%

Pence

2%

Christie

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%
22%
DeSantisTrump+24

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.18-21
1,091LV
Sep.18-21
1,091LV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

6%

Haley

4%

Pence

4%

Burgum

3%

Christie

3%

Scott

3%

Elder

1%

Johnson

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Binkley

0%

Hurd

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+42

Sept. 19, 2023

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

Sep.20
850LV
Sep.20
850LV
Trump
42%
Trump
42%

Trump

42%

Haley

14%

Christie

10%

DeSantis

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Scott

5%

Burgum

4%

Hutchinson

1%

Johnson

1%

Pence

1%

Binkley

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
14%
HaleyTrump+28

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024

Sep.18-20
896LV
Sep.18-20
896LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

21%

DeSantis

13%

Scott

6%

Christie

4%

Ramaswamy

2%

Pence

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%
21%
HaleyTrump+25

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.15-20
474A
Sep.15-20
474A
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

15%

Haley

7%

Pence

6%

Scott

4%

Christie

3%

Ramaswamy

3%

Burgum

0%

Hutchinson

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+39

Sept. 18, 2023

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024

Sep.17-19
500LV
Sep.17-19
500LV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

15%

Haley

13%

Ramaswamy

5%

Scott

5%

Christie

5%

Pence

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Hurd

0%

Johnson

0%

Elder

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+30

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.15-19
321RV
Sep.15-19
321RV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

16%

Haley

7%

Pence

4%

Christie

4%

Scott

3%

Ramaswamy

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+43
Sep.13-19
1,089RV
Sep.13-19
1,089RV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

14%

Haley

5%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

3%

Christie

2%

Scott

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Stapleton

1%

Hurd

1%

Burgum

1%

Johnson

1%

Elder

1%

Binkley

0%

Suarez

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+42

Sept. 17, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.17-18
518LV
Sep.17-18
518LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

5%

Pence

5%

Haley

3%

Scott

2%

Hurd

1%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Johnson

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+47
Sep.14-18
469RV
Sep.14-18
469RV
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

22%
22%
DeSantis  Trump+43
Sep.14-18
470RV
Sep.14-18
470RV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

5%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

3%

Scott

1%

Burgum

1%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Elder

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+46

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

Sep.14-18
1,006LV
Sep.14-18
1,006LV
Trump
39%
Trump
39%

Trump

39%

Ramaswamy

13%

Haley

12%

Christie

11%

DeSantis

10%

Scott

6%

Pence

2%

Burgum

1%

Hurd

1%

Elder

0%

Hutchinson

0%
13%
RamaswamyTrump+26

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024

Sep.14-18
1,079LV
Sep.14-18
1,079LV
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

DeSantis

16%

Haley

8%

Scott

7%

Ramaswamy

7%

Pence

4%

Burgum

4%

Christie

2%

Johnson

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Binkley

0%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+32
Sep.14-18
813LV
Sep.14-18
813LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

DeSantis

15%

Haley

11%

Ramaswamy

7%

Scott

7%

Christie

3%

Pence

3%

Burgum

2%

Binkley

1%

Johnson

1%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%

Hutchinson

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+31

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024

Sep.14-18
809LV
Sep.14-18
809LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

18%

DeSantis

10%

Scott

9%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

4%

Pence

4%

Hurd

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Elder

0%

Johnson

0%
18%
HaleyTrump+28

Sept. 16, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.15-17
3,404LV
Sep.15-17
3,404LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

13%

Ramaswamy

10%

Haley

6%

Pence

5%

Scott

2%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+46
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

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