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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 28, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

385A
Nov.26-29
385A
Trump Sr.
36%
Trump Sr.
36%

Trump Sr.

36%

DeSantis

30%

Trump Jr.

9%

Pence

8%

Cruz

3%

Rubio

3%

Haley

3%
30%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+6

Nov. 21, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

318RV
Nov.15-22
318RV
DeSantis
60%
DeSantis
60%

DeSantis

60%

Trump Sr.

40%
40%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+20
383A
Nov.15-22
383A
DeSantis
57%
DeSantis
57%

DeSantis

57%

Trump Sr.

42%
42%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+15

Nov. 20, 2022

President: Republican primary, Pennsylvania, 2024

639RV
Nov.19-21
639RV
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Trump Sr.

40%
40%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+5

Nov. 19, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

620A
Nov.19-20
620A
Trump Sr.
51%
Trump Sr.
51%

Trump Sr.

51%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+2
849RV
Nov.18-20
849RV
Trump Sr.
45%
Trump Sr.
45%

Trump Sr.

45%

DeSantis

30%

Pence

7%

Cruz

3%

Romney

2%

Haley

2%

Cheney

2%

Rubio

1%

Hawley

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

0%

Noem

0%

Hogan

0%

R. Scott

0%

Christie

0%
30%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+15
Nov.16-20
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Trump Sr.

43%
43%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+2
Nov.16-20
Trump Sr.
44%
Trump Sr.
44%

Trump Sr.

44%

DeSantis

44%
44%
DeSantis  Even

Nov. 18, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

614RV
Nov.18-19
614RV
Trump Sr.
55%
Trump Sr.
55%

Trump Sr.

55%

DeSantis

25%

Pence

8%

Cheney

4%

Cruz

3%

Haley

3%

Hogan

1%

Hawley

0%
25%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+30
424RV
Nov.17-19
424RV
Trump Sr.
52%
Trump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

DeSantis

40%
40%
DeSantis  Trump Sr.+12
424LV
Nov.17-19
424LV
Trump Sr.
46%
Trump Sr.
46%

Trump Sr.

46%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantis  Even
424RV
Nov.17-19
424RV
Trump Sr.
42%
Trump Sr.
42%

Trump Sr.

42%

DeSantis

31%

Pence

11%

Cruz

3%

Haley

1%

Romney

1%

Rubio

1%

Pompeo

1%

Hogan

1%

Cheney

1%

T. Scott

0%

Abbott

0%

R. Scott

0%

Christie

0%

Hawley

0%

Noem

0%

Youngkin

0%

Suarez

0%

Gabbard

0%
31%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+11
424LV
Nov.17-19
424LV
Trump Sr.
38%
Trump Sr.
38%

Trump Sr.

38%

DeSantis

37%

Pence

9%

Cruz

3%

Haley

1%

Romney

1%

Rubio

1%

Pompeo

1%

Hogan

1%

Cheney

1%

T. Scott

0%

Abbott

0%

R. Scott

0%

Christie

0%

Hawley

0%

Noem

0%

Youngkin

0%

Suarez

0%

Gabbard

0%
37%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+1
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