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Who’s ahead in the Alabama presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Alabama, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
118LV
Feb. 29-March 3
118LV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Trump
80%
 Trump
80%

Trump

80%

Haley

20%
20%
Haley  Trump+59
Feb. 29-March 3
138RV
Feb. 29-March 3
138RV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Trump
71%
 Trump
71%

Trump

71%

Haley

19%
19%
Haley  Trump+51
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
343LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
343LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
87%
 Trump
87%

Trump

87%

Haley

12%
12%
Haley  Trump+75
Jan. 29-30
515LV
Jan. 29-30
515LV
Cygnal
 Trump
76%
 Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

16%
16%
Haley  Trump+60
Dec. 1-31
LV
Dec. 1-31
LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
66%
 Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

10%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+53
Nov. 1-30
783LV
Nov. 1-30
783LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
66%
 Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

16%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

2%

Scott

1%

Hutchinson

0%
16%
 DeSantisTrump+50
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