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Who’s ahead in the Arkansas presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Arkansas, 2024

Aug. 31-Sept. 7
184LV
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
184LV
Echelon Insights
 Trump
58%
 Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

29%
29%
DeSantis  Trump+29
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Campaign poll

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