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Who’s ahead in the Indiana presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Indiana, 2024

March 2-5
526LV
March 2-5
526LV
Emerson College
 Trump
78%
 Trump
78%

Trump

78%

Haley

14%
14%
Haley  Trump+65
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
441LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
441LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
80%
 Trump
80%

Trump

80%

Haley

20%
20%
Haley  Trump+60
Nov. 1-30
1,013LV
Nov. 1-30
1,013LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
59%
 Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

18%

Haley

11%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Scott

1%

Burgum

1%
18%
 DeSantisTrump+41
Oct. 1-31
1,016LV
Oct. 1-31
1,016LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
56%
 Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

17%

Haley

9%

Pence

7%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Scott

1%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
17%
 DeSantisTrump+39
Sept. 1-30
932LV
Sept. 1-30
932LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
58%
 Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

7%

Haley

5%

Christie

2%

Scott

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
15%
 DeSantisTrump+43
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