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Who’s ahead in the Massachusetts presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Massachusetts, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 29-March 3
109RV
Feb. 29-March 3
109RV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Trump
59%
 Trump
59%

Trump

59%

Haley

34%
34%
Haley  Trump+25
Feb. 3-6
304LV
Feb. 3-6
304LV
Advantage Inc.
 Trump
65%
 Trump
65%

Trump

65%

Haley

22%
22%
Haley  Trump+43
Feb. 2-5
287LV
Feb. 2-5
287LV
Suffolk University
 Trump
55%
 Trump
55%

Trump

55%

Haley

38%
38%
Haley  Trump+17
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
274LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
274LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
69%
 Trump
69%

Trump

69%

Haley

28%
28%
Haley  Trump+41
Dec. 1-31
LV
Dec. 1-31
LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
58%
 Trump
58%

Trump

58%

Haley

17%

DeSantis

12%
17%
 HaleyTrump+41
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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