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Who’s ahead in the Michigan presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 20-24
486LV
Feb. 20-24
486LV
Trump
76%
Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

24%
24%
Haley  Trump+51
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
666LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
666LV
Trump
79%
Trump
79%

Trump

79%

Haley

19%
19%
Haley  Trump+60
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

Haley

19%

DeSantis

9%

Christie

8%

Burgum

3%

Ramaswamy

2%

Hutchinson

0%
19%
HaleyTrump+34
Dec. 7-11
606LV
Dec. 7-11
606LV
Trump
63%
Trump
63%

Trump

63%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

13%

Christie

5%

Ramaswamy

3%

Hutchinson

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+50
Nov. 29-Dec. 6
618LV
Nov. 29-Dec. 6
618LV
Trump
66%
Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

32%
32%
DeSantis  Trump+34
Nov. 29-Dec. 6
618LV
Nov. 29-Dec. 6
618LV
Trump
72%
Trump
72%

Trump

72%

Haley

27%
27%
Haley  Trump+45
Nov. 29-Dec. 6
618LV
Nov. 29-Dec. 6
618LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

15%

Haley

13%

Christie

6%

Ramaswamy

4%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

1%
15%
DeSantisTrump+43
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