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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Minnesota, 2024

Feb. 23-28
545LV
Feb. 23-28
545LV
SurveyUSA
 Trump
79%
 Trump
79%

Trump

79%

Haley

15%
15%
Haley  Trump+64
Jan. 24-29
537LV
Jan. 24-29
537LV
SurveyUSA
 Trump
76%
 Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

14%
14%
Haley  Trump+62
Nov. 18-23
345LV
Nov. 18-23
345LV
Big Data Poll
 Trump
61%
 Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

7%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

2%

Burgum

2%

Binkley

1%

Hutchinson

1%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+50
Nov. 18-23
356RV
Nov. 18-23
356RV
Big Data Poll
 Trump
60%
 Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

7%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

2%

Burgum

1%

Binkley

1%

Hutchinson

1%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+49
Nov. 14-17
LV
Nov. 14-17
LV
Embold Research
 Trump
60%
 Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

17%

Haley

12%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

1%

Burgum

1%
17%
 DeSantisTrump+43
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Campaign poll

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