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Who’s ahead in the Missouri presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Missouri, 2024

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
387LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
387LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
86%
 Trump
86%

Trump

86%

Haley

12%
12%
Haley  Trump+74
Nov. 1-30
920LV
Nov. 1-30
920LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
65%
 Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

14%

Haley

9%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Scott

1%

Burgum

0%
14%
 DeSantisTrump+51
Oct. 1-31
875LV
Oct. 1-31
875LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

13%

Ramaswamy

8%

Haley

5%

Pence

5%

Christie

2%

Scott

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+51
Sept. 1-30
843LV
Sept. 1-30
843LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
58%
 Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

13%

Ramaswamy

12%

Pence

6%

Christie

3%

Haley

2%

Hutchinson

2%

Scott

2%

Hurd

1%

Burgum

0%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+45
Aug. 1-31
804LV
Aug. 1-31
804LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
61%
 Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

13%

Ramaswamy

11%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

Scott

3%

Christie

1%

Burgum

1%

Suarez

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Hurd

0%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+48
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