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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug.24
1,256LV
Aug.24
1,256LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

11%

Pence

6%

Christie

4%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+44
Aug.24
850LV
Aug.24
850LV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

18%

Haley

11%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

4%

T. Scott

3%

Pence

2%

Elder

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Hurd

1%

Burgum

1%

Binkley

0%

Suarez

0%

Johnson

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+27
Aug.23-24
658RV
Aug.23-24
658RV
Trump
61%
Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

9%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

5%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

2%

Christie

1%

Cheney

0%

Hurd

0%
9%
DeSantisTrump+52
Aug.15-23
450LV
Aug.15-23
450LV
Trump
72%
Trump
72%

Trump

72%

DeSantis

28%
28%
DeSantis  Trump+44
Aug.15-23
450LV
Aug.15-23
450LV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

Ramaswamy

13%

DeSantis

9%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

4%

Christie

4%

Haley

3%

Elder

1%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Johnson

0%

Hurd

0%

Suarez

0%

Romney

0%

Cheney

0%

Abbott

0%

Sununu

0%

Bolton

0%

Youngkin

0%

Perry

0%
13%
RamaswamyTrump+38
Aug.19-21
818LV
Aug.19-21
818LV
Ramaswamy
24%
Ramaswamy
24%

Ramaswamy

24%

DeSantis

23%

T. Scott

7%

Christie

7%

Haley

5%

Pence

4%

Elder

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Hurd

1%

Burgum

0%

Binkley

0%

Suarez

0%

Johnson

0%
23%
DeSantisRamaswamy+1
Aug.19-21
818LV
Aug.19-21
818LV
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

Ramaswamy

11%

DeSantis

10%

Christie

7%

T. Scott

4%

Pence

3%

Haley

3%

Elder

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Binkley

0%

Suarez

0%

Johnson

0%

Hurd

0%
11%
RamaswamyTrump+38
Aug.17-21
482RV
Aug.17-21
482RV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

23%
23%
DeSantis  Trump+37
Aug.17-21
482RV
Aug.17-21
482RV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

8%

T. Scott

4%

Haley

3%

Pence

2%

Christie

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Elder

0%

Suarez

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+40
Aug.17-21
376RV
Aug.17-21
376RV
Trump
67%
Trump
67%

Trump

67%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+41
Aug.17-21
463A
Aug.17-21
463A
Trump
69%
Trump
69%

Trump

69%

DeSantis

24%
24%
DeSantis  Trump+45
Aug.17-21
376RV
Aug.17-21
376RV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

6%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

3%

Cheney

2%

Cruz

1%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%
16%
DeSantisTrump+44
Aug.17-21
463A
Aug.17-21
463A
Trump
63%
Trump
63%

Trump

63%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

3%

Cheney

2%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%
15%
DeSantisTrump+48
Aug.17-21
1,057LV
Aug.17-21
1,057LV
DeSantis
27%
DeSantis
27%

DeSantis

27%

Ramaswamy

22%

Pence

8%

T. Scott

5%

Haley

4%

Christie

4%

Elder

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Johnson

1%

Binkley

1%

Burgum

1%

Suarez

1%

Stapleton

1%

Hurd

0%
22%
RamaswamyDeSantis+5
Aug.17-21
1,057LV
Aug.17-21
1,057LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

10%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

4%

Christie

3%

Haley

3%

Binkley

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Suarez

0%

Stapleton

0%

Johnson

0%

Elder

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+40
Aug.19-20
750LV
Aug.19-20
750LV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

DeSantis

10%

Ramaswamy

6%

Haley

5%

Christie

4%

Pence

3%

T. Scott

3%

Elder

2%

Hutchinson

2%

Burgum

1%

Hurd

1%

Johnson

1%

Binkley

0%

Suarez

0%
10%
DeSantisTrump+41
Aug.18-20
3,608LV
Aug.18-20
3,608LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

10%

Pence

6%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+44
Aug.16-18
531LV
Aug.16-18
531LV
Trump
62%
Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

7%

Pence

5%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Haley

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Elder

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+46
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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