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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug.2-3
355A
Aug.2-3
355A
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

13%

Pence

8%

Ramaswamy

7%

Haley

5%

T. Scott

2%

Youngkin

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Cheney

0%

Christie

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+34
Jul.28-30
3,716LV
Jul.28-30
3,716LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Burgum

1%

Hurd

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Suarez

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+43
Jul.25-27
2,476LV
Jul.25-27
2,476LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+44
Jul.24-27
399LV
Jul.24-27
399LV
Trump
70%
Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Ramaswamy

23%
23%
Ramaswamy  Trump+47
Jul.24-27
399LV
Jul.24-27
399LV
Trump
71%
Trump
71%

Trump

71%

T. Scott

19%
19%
T. Scott  Trump+52
Jul.24-27
399LV
Jul.24-27
399LV
Trump
61%
Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+30
Jul.24-27
399LV
Jul.24-27
399LV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

11%

Pence

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Haley

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%

Suarez

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+40
Jul.23-27
932LV
Jul.23-27
932LV
Trump
62%
Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+31
Jul.23-27
932LV
Jul.23-27
932LV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

17%

Pence

3%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Ramaswamy

2%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Elder

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%

Johnson

0%
17%
DeSantisTrump+37
Jul.24-26
718A
Jul.24-26
718A
Trump
69%
Trump
69%

Trump

69%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+37
Jul.24-26
718A
Jul.24-26
718A
Trump
61%
Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

14%

Pence

8%

Ramaswamy

7%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

1%

Johnson

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%

Elder

0%

Binkley

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+48
Jul.21-26
368RV
Jul.21-26
368RV
Trump
64%
Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

27%
27%
DeSantis  Trump+37
Jul.21-26
442A
Jul.21-26
442A
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+39
Jul.21-26
368RV
Jul.21-26
368RV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

17%

Pence

7%

Ramaswamy

5%

T. Scott

3%

Cheney

2%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%
17%
DeSantisTrump+41
Jul.21-26
442A
Jul.21-26
442A
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

16%

Pence

7%

Ramaswamy

4%

T. Scott

3%

Cheney

2%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%
16%
DeSantisTrump+43
Jul.22-25
498RV
Jul.22-25
498RV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

18%

Ramaswamy

6%

Pence

3%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

1%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Elder

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Hurd

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+36
Jul.22-25
537A
Jul.22-25
537A
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

18%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

3%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

1%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Elder

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Hurd

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+37
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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