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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024

1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

Haley

33%

Pompeo

9%

Pence

6%
33%
HaleyTrump+19
1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

T. Scott

23%

Haley

21%

Pompeo

5%

Pence

3%
23%
T. ScottTrump+25
1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
43%
Trump
43%

Trump

43%

DeSantis

29%

Haley

22%

Pence

4%

Pompeo

2%
29%
DeSantisTrump+14
1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
43%
Trump
43%

Trump

43%

DeSantis

28%

T. Scott

14%

Haley

12%

Pence

2%

Pompeo

1%
28%
DeSantisTrump+16
467LV
Jan.23-25
467LV
DeSantis
48%
DeSantis
48%

DeSantis

48%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  DeSantis+5
467LV
Jan.23-25
467LV
Trump
36%
Trump
36%

Trump

36%

DeSantis

34%

Pence

8%

Haley

2%

Romney

2%

Cruz

2%

Pompeo

1%

Hogan

1%

T. Scott

1%

Cheney

1%

Rubio

0%

Hawley

0%

Abbott

0%

Noem

0%

R. Scott

0%

Christie

0%

Youngkin

0%

Suarez

0%

Gabbard

0%

Hurd

0%

Sununu

0%
34%
DeSantisTrump+2
457LV
Jan.19-24
457LV
DeSantis
38%
DeSantis
38%

DeSantis

38%

Trump Jr.

14%

Pence

6%

Cruz

4%

Owens

3%

Haley

3%

Rubio

2%

Romney

2%

Abbott

2%

Cheney

2%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

R. Scott

1%

Noem

1%

Kasich

1%

Hogan

1%

Bolton

1%

Grenell

1%

Youngkin

1%

Lake

1%

Sununu

1%

Cotton

0%
14%
Trump Jr.DeSantis+24
457LV
Jan.19-24
457LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

41%
41%
DeSantis  Trump+11
457LV
Jan.19-24
457LV
Trump
43%
Trump
43%

Trump

43%

DeSantis

31%

Pence

5%

Cheney

3%

Haley

3%

Romney

2%

Kasich

2%

T. Scott

1%

Hogan

1%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

Rubio

0%

Abbott

0%

Bolton

0%

Sununu

0%
31%
DeSantisTrump+12
625RV
Jan.19-23
625RV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

27%

Pence

8%

Cheney

3%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

1%
27%
DeSantisTrump+30
835A
Jan.19-23
835A
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

24%

Pence

8%

Cheney

2%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

1%
24%
DeSantisTrump+35
3,592RV
Jan.20-22
3,592RV
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

DeSantis

30%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

Cheney

2%

Cruz

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Youngkin

0%
30%
DeSantisTrump+19
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