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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug.30-Sep.5
415RV
Aug.30-Sep.5
415RV
Trump
66%
Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

24%
24%
DeSantis  Trump+42
Aug.30-Sep.5
415RV
Aug.30-Sep.5
415RV
Trump
61%
Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

12%

Pence

6%

Haley

5%

Ramaswamy

5%

Cheney

3%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

2%

Christie

2%

Pompeo

1%
12%
DeSantisTrump+49
Aug.30-Sep.5
477A
Aug.30-Sep.5
477A
Trump
67%
Trump
67%

Trump

67%

DeSantis

24%
24%
DeSantis  Trump+43
Aug.30-Sep.5
477A
Aug.30-Sep.5
477A
Trump
62%
Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

12%

Pence

7%

Haley

5%

Ramaswamy

5%

Cheney

3%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

2%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%
12%
DeSantisTrump+50
Sep.2-4
3,745LV
Sep.2-4
3,745LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

8%

Pence

6%

Haley

5%

Christie

3%

T. Scott

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+45
Aug.30-Sep.1
2,476LV
Aug.30-Sep.1
2,476LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

11%

Pence

5%

Haley

5%

Christie

3%

T. Scott

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+44
Aug.28-31
468LV
Aug.28-31
468LV
Trump
73%
Trump
73%

Trump

73%

Haley

20%
20%
Haley  Trump+53
Aug.28-31
468LV
Aug.28-31
468LV
Trump
64%
Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+38
Aug.28-31
468LV
Aug.28-31
468LV
DeSantis
34%
DeSantis
34%

DeSantis

34%

Ramaswamy

32%

Pence

7%

Haley

6%

T. Scott

4%

Christie

4%

Elder

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%

Burgum

0%
32%
RamaswamyDeSantis+2
Aug.28-31
468LV
Aug.28-31
468LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

12%

Pence

6%

Haley

4%

Christie

3%

T. Scott

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Elder

1%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Suarez

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+37
Aug.25-31
784RV
Aug.25-31
784RV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

18%

Haley

7%

Pence

7%

Ramaswamy

6%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Burgum

1%

Elder

1%

Hurd

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Johnson

0%

Suarez

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+34
Aug.24-30
600LV
Aug.24-30
600LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

3%

Pence

2%

T. Scott

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%

Suarez

0%

Johnson

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+46
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