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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024

3,528RV
Mar.24-26
3,528RV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

26%

Pence

7%

Haley

5%

Cheney

3%

T. Scott

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

Ramaswamy

1%
26%
DeSantisTrump+26
Mar.22-23
Trump
70%
Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Haley

30%
30%
Haley  Trump+40
Mar.22-23
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

44%
44%
DeSantis  Trump+12
Mar.22-23
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Pence

13%

Haley

9%

Cruz

5%

Pompeo

3%

Rubio

3%

T. Scott

3%

Ramaswamy

2%
13%
PenceDeSantis+32
Mar.22-23
Trump
50%
Trump
50%

Trump

50%

DeSantis

24%

Pence

7%

Haley

5%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

2%

Pompeo

1%

Rubio

1%

Ramaswamy

0%
24%
DeSantisTrump+26
2,476RV
Mar.21-23
2,476RV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

28%

Pence

7%

Haley

4%

Cheney

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

T. Scott

1%

Ramaswamy

0%
28%
DeSantisTrump+25
573RV
Mar.16-21
573RV
Trump
70%
Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Haley

18%
18%
Haley  Trump+52
753A
Mar.16-21
753A
Trump
72%
Trump
72%

Trump

72%

Haley

16%
16%
Haley  Trump+56
573RV
Mar.16-21
573RV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

33%
33%
DeSantis  Trump+24
753A
Mar.16-21
753A
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

30%
30%
DeSantis  Trump+30
573RV
Mar.16-21
573RV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

25%

Haley

5%

Cruz

5%

Pence

4%

Cheney

2%

T. Scott

1%
25%
DeSantisTrump+31
753A
Mar.16-21
753A
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

5%

Haley

5%

Cruz

5%

Cheney

2%

T. Scott

1%
22%
DeSantisTrump+36
2,476RV
Mar.18-20
2,476RV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

27%

Pence

7%

Haley

4%

Cheney

3%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

T. Scott

1%

Ramaswamy

1%
27%
DeSantisTrump+26
458RV
Mar.16-20
458RV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

32%

Haley

6%

Pence

5%
32%
DeSantisTrump+15
458RV
Mar.16-20
458RV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

39%
39%
DeSantis  Trump+8
459RV
Mar.16-20
459RV
Trump
44%
Trump
44%

Trump

44%

DeSantis

28%

Haley

5%

Pence

4%

Youngkin

2%

Cheney

2%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%

Hogan

1%
28%
DeSantisTrump+16
521RV
Mar.16-20
521RV
Trump
70%
Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Haley

23%
23%
Haley  Trump+47
521RV
Mar.16-20
521RV
Trump
73%
Trump
73%

Trump

73%

Pence

21%
21%
Pence  Trump+52
521RV
Mar.16-20
521RV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantis  Trump+1
521RV
Mar.16-20
521RV
Trump
67%
Trump
67%

Trump

67%

Haley

15%

Pence

11%
15%
HaleyTrump+52
521RV
Mar.16-20
521RV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

40%

Haley

9%
40%
DeSantisTrump+5
521RV
Mar.16-20
521RV
Trump
44%
Trump
44%

Trump

44%

DeSantis

36%

Pence

7%

Haley

6%
36%
DeSantisTrump+8
521RV
Mar.16-20
521RV
Trump
41%
Trump
41%

Trump

41%

DeSantis

27%

Haley

3%

Cruz

1%

Paul

1%

Pence

1%

Rice

1%

T. Scott

1%

Pompeo

0%
27%
DeSantisTrump+14
463LV
Mar.16-20
463LV
Trump
61%
Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+30
463LV
Mar.16-20
463LV
DeSantis
35%
DeSantis
35%

DeSantis

35%

Trump Jr.

14%

Pence

7%

Haley

5%

Cruz

4%

Cheney

3%

Romney

3%

Owens

2%

Abbott

2%

Noem

2%

Pompeo

2%

Rubio

1%

T. Scott

1%

Lake

1%

Youngkin

1%

Ramaswamy

1%

Kasich

1%

Sununu

0%

R. Scott

0%

Cotton

0%

Bolton

0%

Grenell

0%
14%
Trump Jr.DeSantis+21
463LV
Mar.16-20
463LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

DeSantis

23%

Pence

8%

Haley

5%

Romney

3%

Cheney

3%

Abbott

1%

Sununu

1%

Bolton

1%

Youngkin

1%

T. Scott

1%

Pompeo

0%

Ramaswamy

0%
23%
DeSantisTrump+23
1,627A
Mar.14-20
1,627A
Trump
44%
Trump
44%

Trump

44%

DeSantis

30%

Pence

5%

Cheney

4%

Haley

3%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

Christie

1%

Sununu

0%
30%
DeSantisTrump+14
2,476RV
Mar.15-17
2,476RV
Trump
51%
Trump
51%

Trump

51%

DeSantis

29%

Pence

7%

Haley

4%

Cheney

3%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

T. Scott

1%

Ramaswamy

1%
29%
DeSantisTrump+22
361A
Mar.15-17
361A
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Pence

21%

Cruz

14%

Haley

5%

Youngkin

3%

Cheney

3%

Sununu

2%
21%
PenceDeSantis+24
361A
Mar.15-17
361A
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

24%

Pence

9%

Cruz

4%

Haley

3%

Cheney

2%

Youngkin

2%

Sununu

1%
24%
DeSantisTrump+28
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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