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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug.9-10
800LV
Aug.9-10
800LV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

Ramaswamy

11%

DeSantis

10%

Pence

8%

Christie

4%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%
11%
RamaswamyTrump+37
Aug.2-7
401RV
Aug.2-7
401RV
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+39
Aug.2-7
484A
Aug.2-7
484A
Trump
66%
Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

25%
25%
DeSantis  Trump+41
Aug.2-7
401RV
Aug.2-7
401RV
Trump
54%
Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

18%

Ramaswamy

7%

Pence

6%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

4%

Cheney

2%

Cruz

2%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+36
Aug.2-7
484A
Aug.2-7
484A
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

16%

Pence

6%

Ramaswamy

6%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Cheney

2%

Cruz

2%

Pompeo

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+41
Jul.31-Aug.7
806LV
Jul.31-Aug.7
806LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

15%

Christie

5%

Pence

5%

Haley

3%

Ramaswamy

3%

T. Scott

2%

Burgum

1%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%

Hutchinson

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+43
Aug.5-6
1,638LV
Aug.5-6
1,638LV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

21%
21%
DeSantis  Trump+36
Aug.5-6
1,638LV
Aug.5-6
1,638LV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

13%

Christie

5%

Ramaswamy

4%
13%
DeSantisTrump+42
Aug.4-6
3,486LV
Aug.4-6
3,486LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

8%

Pence

6%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+43
Aug.2-4
529RV
Aug.2-4
529RV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

8%

Pence

5%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

2%
12%
DeSantisTrump+45
Aug.2-3
355A
Aug.2-3
355A
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

13%

Pence

8%

Ramaswamy

7%

Haley

5%

T. Scott

2%

Youngkin

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Cheney

0%

Christie

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+34
Aug.1-3
2,476LV
Aug.1-3
2,476LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

6%

T. Scott

4%

Haley

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+43
Aug.1-3
Aug.1-3
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

Ramaswamy

11%

DeSantis

10%

Pence

7%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

3%

Christie

2%

Suarez

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Binkley

0%

Elder

0%

Johnson

0%
11%
RamaswamyTrump+42
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