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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug.14-16
1,082LV
Aug.14-16
1,082LV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

17%

Pence

5%

Christie

5%

Ramaswamy

4%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

4%

Elder

1%

Johnson

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Hurd

0%

Binkley

0%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%
17%
DeSantisTrump+38
Aug.12-15
527RV
Aug.12-15
527RV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

4%

Haley

3%

Pence

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+39
Aug.12-15
567A
Aug.12-15
567A
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

4%

Pence

3%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

2%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+38
Aug.11-14
229LV
Aug.11-14
229LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

Ramaswamy

13%

DeSantis

8%

Christie

5%

Pence

4%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

2%
13%
RamaswamyTrump+47
Aug.11-14
426RV
Aug.11-14
426RV
Trump
67%
Trump
67%

Trump

67%

DeSantis

29%
29%
DeSantis  Trump+38
Aug.11-14
413LV
Aug.11-14
413LV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

11%

Pence

5%

Haley

4%

Christie

3%

T. Scott

3%

Burgum

1%

Elder

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Johnson

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+37
Aug.10-14
681RV
Aug.10-14
681RV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

18%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

4%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Hurd

1%

Elder

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+39
Aug.11-13
3,064LV
Aug.11-13
3,064LV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

Christie

3%

T. Scott

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%

Suarez

1%

Hurd

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+41
Aug.9-10
800LV
Aug.9-10
800LV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

Ramaswamy

11%

DeSantis

10%

Pence

8%

Christie

4%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%
11%
RamaswamyTrump+37
Aug.8-10
2,476LV
Aug.8-10
2,476LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

15%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

6%

Haley

4%

Christie

2%

T. Scott

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump+44
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