UPDATED Sep. 27, 2022, at 8:10 PM

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024

323RV
Sep.21-23
323RV
Trump Sr.
59%
Trump Sr.
59%

Trump Sr.

59%

DeSantis

24%

Pence

12%

Cheney

2%
24%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+35
378A
Sep.21-23
378A
Trump Sr.
61%
Trump Sr.
61%

Trump Sr.

61%

DeSantis

21%

Pence

11%

Cheney

3%
21%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+40
465LV
Sep.17-22
465LV
DeSantis
31%
DeSantis
31%

DeSantis

31%

Trump Jr.

19%

Pence

11%

Cruz

6%

Pompeo

3%

Haley

3%

Owens

2%

Rubio

2%

Romney

2%

Abbott

2%

Cheney

2%

T. Scott

1%

Cotton

1%

R. Scott

1%

Noem

1%

Kasich

1%

Hogan

1%

Bolton

1%

Grenell

0%
19%
Trump Jr.DeSantis+12
465LV
Sep.17-22
465LV
Trump Sr.
55%
Trump Sr.
55%

Trump Sr.

55%

DeSantis

18%

Pence

6%

Romney

2%

Rubio

2%

Abbott

2%

Cheney

2%

Bolton

2%

Cotton

1%

Kasich

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hogan

1%

Owens

0%

Cruz

0%

Haley

0%

Pompeo

0%

R. Scott

0%

Noem

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+37
659A
Sep.16-19
659A
Trump Sr.
63%
Trump Sr.
63%

Trump Sr.

63%

DeSantis

14%

Pence

9%

Cheney

5%

Haley

3%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

1%
14%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+49
465RV
Sep.16-19
465RV
DeSantis
42%
DeSantis
42%

DeSantis

42%

Pence

11%

Trump Jr.

7%

Romney

4%

Cruz

4%

Rubio

4%

Haley

2%

Hogan

2%

Abbott

2%

Christie

2%

Pompeo

1%

Cotton

1%

Hawley

1%

Cheney

1%

Youngkin

1%

T. Scott

0%

Noem

0%

R. Scott

0%

Taylor Greene

0%

Suarez

0%
11%
PenceDeSantis+31
465LV
Sep.16-19
465LV
DeSantis
49%
DeSantis
49%

DeSantis

49%

Pence

10%

Trump Jr.

6%

Cruz

5%

Romney

3%

Haley

2%

Rubio

2%

Christie

2%

Pompeo

1%

Hawley

1%

Abbott

1%

Cheney

1%

Youngkin

1%

Hogan

0%

Cotton

0%

T. Scott

0%

Noem

0%

R. Scott

0%

Taylor Greene

0%

Suarez

0%
10%
PenceDeSantis+39
831RV
Sep.16-18
831RV
Trump Sr.
52%
Trump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

DeSantis

19%

Pence

8%

Romney

3%

Cheney

3%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

Rubio

1%

Cotton

1%

T. Scott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Christie

1%

Hawley

0%

Hogan

0%
19%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+33
534RV
Sep.7-9
534RV
Trump Sr.
54%
Trump Sr.
54%

Trump Sr.

54%

DeSantis

15%

Pence

8%

Haley

2%

Rubio

2%

Cruz

2%

Cheney

1%

Pompeo

1%

Abbott

1%

Cotton

1%

T. Scott

1%

Noem

1%

Hawley

1%

Christie

0%

Sasse

0%

R. Scott

0%

Stefanik

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+39
337A
Sep.7-9
337A
Trump Sr.
61%
Trump Sr.
61%

Trump Sr.

61%

DeSantis

20%

Pence

13%

Cheney

2%
20%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+41
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