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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jul.14-16
3,630RV
Jul.14-16
3,630RV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

20%

Ramaswamy

8%

Pence

7%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
20%
DeSantisTrump+35
Jul.7-14
355RV
Jul.7-14
355RV
Trump
63%
Trump
63%

Trump

63%

DeSantis

28%
28%
DeSantis  Trump+35
Jul.7-14
435A
Jul.7-14
435A
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+39
Jul.7-14
355RV
Jul.7-14
355RV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

20%

Pence

5%

Ramaswamy

4%

Haley

3%

Christie

2%

Cheney

2%

T. Scott

2%

Cruz

1%

Pompeo

0%
20%
DeSantisTrump+35
Jul.7-14
435A
Jul.7-14
435A
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

19%

Pence

5%

Ramaswamy

4%

Haley

3%

Christie

2%

Cheney

2%

T. Scott

2%

Pompeo

1%

Cruz

1%
19%
DeSantisTrump+39
Jul.11-13
2,476RV
Jul.11-13
2,476RV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

18%

Ramaswamy

7%

Pence

6%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump+40
Jul.8-11
549A
Jul.8-11
549A
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

DeSantis

20%

Pence

6%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
20%
DeSantisTrump+29
Jul.8-11
502RV
Jul.8-11
502RV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

5%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
22%
DeSantisTrump+26
Jul.8-10
2,476RV
Jul.8-10
2,476RV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

17%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
17%
DeSantisTrump+39
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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