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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jun.26-29
413LV
Jun.26-29
413LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

32%
32%
DeSantis  Trump+28
Jun.26-29
413LV
Jun.26-29
413LV
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

DeSantis

16%

Ramaswamy

10%

Pence

5%

Haley

5%

T. Scott

4%

Christie

2%

Suarez

1%

Burgum

1%

Youngkin

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Perry

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+33
Jun.24-27
388A
Jun.24-27
388A
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

25%
25%
DeSantis  Trump+27
Jun.23-26
478RV
Jun.23-26
478RV
Trump
64%
Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+38
Jun.23-26
587A
Jun.23-26
587A
Trump
66%
Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

24%
24%
DeSantis  Trump+42
Jun.23-26
478RV
Jun.23-26
478RV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

21%

Pence

6%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

3%

Cruz

3%

Christie

1%

Cheney

1%

Ramaswamy

1%

Pompeo

0%
21%
DeSantisTrump+38
Jun.23-26
587A
Jun.23-26
587A
Trump
62%
Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

19%

Pence

6%

T. Scott

3%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

Christie

1%

Cheney

1%

Ramaswamy

1%

Pompeo

0%
19%
DeSantisTrump+43
Jun.23-26
391LV
Jun.23-26
391LV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

22%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

4%

Haley

3%

Christie

1%

Elder

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
22%
DeSantisTrump+34
Jun.23-25
3,650RV
Jun.23-25
3,650RV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

19%

Pence

7%

Ramaswamy

6%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
19%
DeSantisTrump+38
Jun.20-22
2,476RV
Jun.20-22
2,476RV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

21%

Pence

7%

Ramaswamy

5%

Haley

3%

T. Scott

3%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%

Hurd

0%
21%
DeSantisTrump+34
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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