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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 19-21
792LV
Dec. 19-21
792LV
Rasmussen Reports
 Trump
51%
 Trump
51%

Trump

51%

Haley

13%

DeSantis

9%

Christie

9%

Ramaswamy

1%
13%
 HaleyTrump+38
Dec. 13-19
454LV
Dec. 13-19
454LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trump
74%
 Trump
74%

Trump

74%

Haley

26%
26%
Haley  Trump+48
Dec. 13-19
454LV
Dec. 13-19
454LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trump
74%
 Trump
74%

Trump

74%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+48
Dec. 13-19
454LV
Dec. 13-19
454LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trump
62%
 Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

4%

Hutchinson

2%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+51
Dec. 16-18
544RV
Dec. 16-18
544RV
YouGov
 Trump
60%
 Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

17%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

0%
17%
 DeSantisTrump+43
Dec. 14-18
446RV
Dec. 14-18
446RV
YouGov
 Trump
59%
 Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

25%
25%
DeSantis  Trump+34
Dec. 14-18
445RV
Dec. 14-18
445RV
YouGov
 Trump
70%
 Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Haley

19%
19%
Haley  Trump+51
Dec. 14-18
446RV
Dec. 14-18
446RV
YouGov
 Trump
56%
 Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

15%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Christie

1%
15%
 DeSantisTrump+41
Dec. 14-18
702RV
Dec. 14-18
702RV
Quinnipiac University
 Trump
67%
 Trump
67%

Trump

67%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

11%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

0%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+56
Dec. 15-17
3,547LV
Dec. 15-17
3,547LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
66%
 Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

11%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+55
Dec. 15-17
274RV
Dec. 15-17
274RV
Leger
 Trump
61%
 Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

14%

Haley

6%

Cheney

4%

Christie

3%

Ramaswamy

2%

Hutchinson

1%
14%
 DeSantisTrump+47
Dec. 12-16
443LV
Dec. 12-16
443LV
Echelon Insights
 Trump
76%
 Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

20%
20%
Haley  Trump+56
Dec. 12-16
443LV
Dec. 12-16
443LV
Echelon Insights
 Trump
74%
 Trump
74%

Trump

74%

DeSantis

19%
19%
DeSantis  Trump+55
Dec. 12-16
443LV
Dec. 12-16
443LV
Echelon Insights
 Trump
70%
 Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Haley

10%

DeSantis

9%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

0%
10%
 HaleyTrump+60
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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