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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sep.17-18
518LV
Sep.17-18
518LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

5%

Pence

5%

Haley

3%

Scott

2%

Hurd

1%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Johnson

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+47
Sep.14-18
469RV
Sep.14-18
469RV
Trump
65%
Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

22%
22%
DeSantis  Trump+43
Sep.14-18
470RV
Sep.14-18
470RV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

5%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

3%

Scott

1%

Burgum

1%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Elder

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+46
Sep.15-17
3,404LV
Sep.15-17
3,404LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

13%

Ramaswamy

10%

Haley

6%

Pence

5%

Scott

2%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+46
Sep.13-14
758RV
Sep.13-14
758RV
Trump
76%
Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Pence

24%
24%
Pence  Trump+52
Sep.13-14
758RV
Sep.13-14
758RV
Trump
74%
Trump
74%

Trump

74%

Haley

26%
26%
Haley  Trump+48
Sep.13-14
758RV
Sep.13-14
758RV
Trump
71%
Trump
71%

Trump

71%

Ramaswamy

29%
29%
Ramaswamy  Trump+42
Sep.13-14
758RV
Sep.13-14
758RV
Trump
77%
Trump
77%

Trump

77%

Scott

23%
23%
Scott  Trump+54
Sep.13-14
758RV
Sep.13-14
758RV
Trump
69%
Trump
69%

Trump

69%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+38
Sep.13-14
758RV
Sep.13-14
758RV
DeSantis
23%
DeSantis
23%

DeSantis

23%

Ramaswamy

22%

Pence

12%

Haley

11%

Scott

5%

Christie

2%

Elder

2%

Burgum

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Hurd

1%

Johnson

1%

Binkley

0%
22%
RamaswamyDeSantis+1
Sep.13-14
758RV
Sep.13-14
758RV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

10%

Ramaswamy

8%

Haley

6%

Pence

4%

Christie

2%

Scott

2%

Johnson

1%

Elder

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Binkley

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
10%
DeSantisTrump+47
Sep.12-14
2,476LV
Sep.12-14
2,476LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

8%

Pence

6%

Haley

6%

Scott

2%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+46
Sep.10-12
537RV
Sep.10-12
537RV
Trump
55%
Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

16%

Haley

6%

Ramaswamy

6%

Pence

4%

Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
16%
DeSantisTrump+39
Sep.10-12
572A
Sep.10-12
572A
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

6%

Haley

5%

Pence

5%

Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+39
Sep.9-12
409LV
Sep.9-12
409LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

13%

Ramaswamy

11%

Haley

5%

Pence

3%

Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%

Johnson

0%
13%
DeSantisTrump+47
Sep.9-11
2,476LV
Sep.9-11
2,476LV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

9%

Pence

6%

Haley

6%

Scott

2%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+44
Sep.7-11
728RV
Sep.7-11
728RV
Trump
62%
Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

6%

Haley

5%

Pence

5%

Scott

3%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Elder

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+50
Sep.6-11
954RV
Sep.6-11
954RV
DeSantis
32%
DeSantis
32%

DeSantis

32%

Ramaswamy

17%

Pence

11%

Haley

9%

Scott

4%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Suarez

1%

Hurd

1%

Elder

1%

Stapleton

1%

Binkley

1%

Johnson

0%

Burgum

0%
17%
RamaswamyDeSantis+15
Sep.6-11
954RV
Sep.6-11
954RV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

11%

Ramaswamy

7%

Pence

4%

Haley

4%

Christie

2%

Scott

2%

Hurd

1%

Johnson

1%

Elder

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Stapleton

0%

Binkley

0%
11%
DeSantisTrump+48
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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