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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 24-26
3,944LV
Nov. 24-26
3,944LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

14%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%
14%
 DeSantisTrump+50
Nov. 17-20
662LV
Nov. 17-20
662LV
Emerson College
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

Haley

9%

DeSantis

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%
9%
 HaleyTrump+55
Nov. 16-20
453LV
Nov. 16-20
453LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trump
78%
 Trump
78%

Trump

78%

Haley

22%
22%
Haley  Trump+56
Nov. 16-20
453LV
Nov. 16-20
453LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trump
75%
 Trump
75%

Trump

75%

DeSantis

25%
25%
DeSantis  Trump+50
Nov. 16-20
453LV
Nov. 16-20
453LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trump
58%
 Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

11%

Ramaswamy

8%

Haley

8%

Christie

4%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

1%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+47
Nov. 17-19
3,619LV
Nov. 17-19
3,619LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
66%
 Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

9%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

3%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

1%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+53
Nov. 15-19
1,000RV
Nov. 15-19
1,000RV
HarrisX
 DeSantis
38%
 DeSantis
38%

DeSantis

38%

Haley

16%

Ramaswamy

13%

Christie

4%

Binkley

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%

Stapleton

1%
16%
 HaleyDeSantis+22
Nov. 15-19
1,100RV
Nov. 15-19
1,100RV
HarrisX
 Trump
62%
 Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

2%

Burgum

1%

Binkley

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Stapleton

0%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+51
Nov. 14-17
461LV
Nov. 14-17
461LV
Echelon Insights
 Trump
68%
 Trump
68%

Trump

68%

Haley

26%
26%
Haley  Trump+42
Nov. 14-17
461LV
Nov. 14-17
461LV
Echelon Insights
 Trump
69%
 Trump
69%

Trump

69%

DeSantis

24%
24%
DeSantis  Trump+45
Nov. 14-17
461LV
Nov. 14-17
461LV
Echelon Insights
 Trump
61%
 Trump
61%

Trump

61%

Haley

12%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

8%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%
12%
 HaleyTrump+49
Nov. 15-16
RV
Nov. 15-16
RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Trump
81%
 Trump
81%

Trump

81%

Haley

19%
19%
Haley  Trump+62
Nov. 15-16
RV
Nov. 15-16
RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Trump
75%
 Trump
75%

Trump

75%

DeSantis

25%
25%
DeSantis  Trump+50
Nov. 15-16
RV
Nov. 15-16
RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Trump
67%
 Trump
67%

Trump

67%

DeSantis

9%

Haley

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

3%
9%
 DeSantisTrump+58
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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