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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

384RV
Mar.3-5
384RV
Trump
73%
Trump
73%

Trump

73%

Haley

20%

Ramaswamy

7%
20%
HaleyTrump+52
384RV
Mar.3-5
384RV
Trump
58%
Trump
58%

Trump

58%

DeSantis

17%

Sununu

7%

Haley

6%

Pence

4%

Pompeo

2%

Noem

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hogan

1%
17%
DeSantisTrump+41
506LV
Jan.25-26
506LV
Trump
37%
Trump
37%

Trump

37%

DeSantis

26%

Sununu

13%

Haley

4%

Pence

3%

Youngkin

0%
26%
DeSantisTrump+11
349LV
Jan.19-23
349LV
DeSantis
42%
DeSantis
42%

DeSantis

42%

Trump

30%

Haley

8%

Cheney

4%

Hogan

4%

Sununu

4%

Noem

2%

Cruz

1%

Pence

1%

Rubio

1%

Pompeo

0%

T. Scott

0%

Youngkin

0%
30%
TrumpDeSantis+12
434LV
Dec.5-13
434LV
DeSantis
33%
DeSantis
33%

DeSantis

33%

Trump

32%

Pence

3%
32%
TrumpDeSantis+1
401LV
Nov.11-13
401LV
DeSantis
52%
DeSantis
52%

DeSantis

52%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  DeSantis+15
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