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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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ADULTS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 10-14
994LV
Nov. 10-14
994LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Trump
42%
 Trump
42%

Trump

42%

Haley

20%

Christie

14%

DeSantis

9%

Ramaswamy

8%

Burgum

2%

Hutchinson

0%
20%
 HaleyTrump+22
Nov. 9-14
606LV
Nov. 9-14
606LV
Monmouth University Polling Institute/The Washington Post
 Trump
46%
 Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

18%

Christie

11%

Ramaswamy

8%

DeSantis

7%

Scott

3%

Burgum

2%

Hutchinson

1%
18%
 HaleyTrump+28
Nov. 10-13
465LV
Nov. 10-13
465LV
Emerson College
 Trump
49%
 Trump
49%

Trump

49%

Haley

18%

Christie

9%

DeSantis

7%

Ramaswamy

5%

Scott

2%

Burgum

2%

Hutchinson

0%
18%
 HaleyTrump+31
Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Public Opinion Strategies
 Trump
52%
 Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

31%
31%
DeSantis  Trump+21
Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 28-Oct. 1
400LV
Public Opinion Strategies
 Trump
46%
 Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

18%

DeSantis

12%

Christie

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Scott

3%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Pence

0%
18%
 HaleyTrump+28
Sept. 23-26
500LV
Sept. 23-26
500LV
Suffolk University
 Trump
49%
 Trump
49%

Trump

49%

Haley

19%

DeSantis

10%

Christie

6%

Ramaswamy

4%

Scott

4%

Pence

1%

Burgum

1%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%

Hutchinson

0%

Binkley

0%

Johnson

0%
19%
 HaleyTrump+31
Sept. 15-24
502LV
Sept. 15-24
502LV
YouGov
 Trump
50%
 Trump
50%

Trump

50%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

11%

Christie

8%

Ramaswamy

8%

Scott

5%

Burgum

2%

Pence

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+37
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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