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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

Sep.20
850LV
Sep.20
850LV
Trump
42%
Trump
42%

Trump

42%

Haley

14%

Christie

10%

DeSantis

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Scott

5%

Burgum

4%

Hutchinson

1%

Johnson

1%

Pence

1%

Binkley

0%

Hurd

0%

Elder

0%
14%
HaleyTrump+28
Sep.14-18
1,006LV
Sep.14-18
1,006LV
Trump
39%
Trump
39%

Trump

39%

Ramaswamy

13%

Haley

12%

Christie

11%

DeSantis

10%

Scott

6%

Pence

2%

Burgum

1%

Hurd

1%

Elder

0%

Hutchinson

0%
13%
RamaswamyTrump+26
Aug.26-31
800LV
Aug.26-31
800LV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

10%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

8%

Christie

8%

Scott

5%

Pence

4%

Burgum

2%

Hurd

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Elder

1%

Suarez

0%

Johnson

0%
10%
DeSantisTrump+37
Aug.25-28
500LV
Aug.25-28
500LV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

9%

Ramaswamy

9%

Scott

5%

Christie

5%

Burgum

2%

Pence

1%

Hurd

1%

Elder

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Johnson

0%

Suarez

0%
11%
DeSantisTrump+37
Aug.15-17
800LV
Aug.15-17
800LV
Trump
34%
Trump
34%

Trump

34%

Christie

14%

Ramaswamy

11%

DeSantis

9%

Scott

7%

Pence

3%

Haley

3%

Hurd

3%

Burgum

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Suarez

0%

Binkley

0%

Elder

0%
14%
ChristieTrump+20
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