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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, New Jersey, 2024

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
372LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
372LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
82%
 Trump
82%

Trump

82%

Haley

17%
17%
Haley  Trump+65
Nov. 1-30
764LV
Nov. 1-30
764LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
66%
 Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

10%

Haley

10%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

4%

Scott

0%

Burgum

0%
10%
 DeSantisTrump+56
Oct. 1-31
824LV
Oct. 1-31
824LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
66%
 Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

12%

Haley

6%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

4%

Pence

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Scott

1%

Burgum

0%
12%
 DeSantisTrump+54
Sept. 1-30
793LV
Sept. 1-30
793LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

10%

Ramaswamy

9%

Haley

6%

Christie

4%

Scott

2%

Pence

2%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%
10%
 DeSantisTrump+54
Aug. 1-31
900LV
Aug. 1-31
900LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
65%
 Trump
65%

Trump

65%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

5%

Haley

4%

Scott

3%

Pence

3%

Hurd

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Suarez

0%
12%
 DeSantisTrump+53
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