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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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ADULTS

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LV

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 29-March 3
137LV
Feb. 29-March 3
137LV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Trump
77%
 Trump
77%

Trump

77%

Haley

23%
23%
Haley  Trump+54
Feb. 29-March 3
155RV
Feb. 29-March 3
155RV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Trump
72%
 Trump
72%

Trump

72%

Haley

21%
21%
Haley  Trump+51
Feb. 16-23
RV
Feb. 16-23
RV
High Point University Survey Research Center
 Trump
68%
 Trump
68%

Trump

68%

Haley

21%

DeSantis

3%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Binkley

0%
21%
 HaleyTrump+47
Feb. 16-23
394LV
Feb. 16-23
394LV
High Point University Survey Research Center
 Trump
69%
 Trump
69%

Trump

69%

Haley

24%

DeSantis

3%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

1%

Binkley

1%

Hutchinson

0%
24%
 HaleyTrump+45
Feb. 21
150LV
Feb. 21
150LV
Capen Analytics
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

Haley

36%
36%
Haley  Trump+28
Feb. 9-12
492LV
Feb. 9-12
492LV
East Carolina University Center for Survey Research
 Trump
76%
 Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

19%
19%
Haley  Trump+58
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
654LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
654LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
77%
 Trump
77%

Trump

77%

Haley

23%
23%
Haley  Trump+54
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