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Who’s ahead in the Oklahoma presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Oklahoma, 2024

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
252LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
252LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
88%
 Trump
88%

Trump

88%

Haley

11%
11%
Haley  Trump+77
Dec. 1-31
LV
Dec. 1-31
LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
70%
 Trump
70%

Trump

70%

DeSantis

9%

Haley

9%
9%
 DeSantisTrump+61
Nov. 1-30
637LV
Nov. 1-30
637LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
69%
 Trump
69%

Trump

69%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

7%

Haley

6%

Christie

3%

Scott

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%
12%
 DeSantisTrump+57
Oct. 1-31
625LV
Oct. 1-31
625LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
68%
 Trump
68%

Trump

68%

DeSantis

7%

Pence

7%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

5%

Haley

4%

Scott

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Hurd

0%
7%
 DeSantisTrump+61
Sept. 1-30
566LV
Sept. 1-30
566LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
63%
 Trump
63%

Trump

63%

Pence

11%

DeSantis

8%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

4%

Haley

3%

Scott

1%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Hurd

0%
11%
 PenceTrump+52
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