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Who’s ahead in South Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024

300LV
Feb.7-14
300LV
Trump
35%
Trump
35%

Trump

35%

DeSantis

22%

Haley

16%

T. Scott

2%

Pence

2%
22%
DeSantisTrump+13
1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

Haley

33%

Pompeo

9%

Pence

6%
33%
HaleyTrump+19
1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

T. Scott

23%

Haley

21%

Pompeo

5%

Pence

3%
23%
T. ScottTrump+25
1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
43%
Trump
43%

Trump

43%

DeSantis

29%

Haley

22%

Pence

4%

Pompeo

2%
29%
DeSantisTrump+14
1,078LV
Jan.24-26
1,078LV
Trump
43%
Trump
43%

Trump

43%

DeSantis

28%

T. Scott

14%

Haley

12%

Pence

2%

Pompeo

1%
28%
DeSantisTrump+16
450LV
Jan.18-24
450LV
Trump
41%
Trump
41%

Trump

41%

DeSantis

31%

Haley

12%

T. Scott

5%

Pence

4%
31%
DeSantisTrump+10
450LV
Jan.18-24
450LV
Trump
64%
Trump
64%

Trump

64%

T. Scott

28%
28%
T. Scott  Trump+36
450LV
Jan.18-24
450LV
Trump
62%
Trump
62%

Trump

62%

Haley

29%
29%
Haley  Trump+33
450LV
Jan.18-24
450LV
Trump
49%
Trump
49%

Trump

49%

DeSantis

42%
42%
DeSantis  Trump+7
386LV
Jan.17-19
386LV
DeSantis
52%
DeSantis
52%

DeSantis

52%

Trump

33%
33%
Trump  DeSantis+19
Oct.22-Nov.5
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

Haley

37%
37%
Haley  Trump+8
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