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Who’s ahead in South Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In June 2023, we debuted a new way of calculating our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, South Carolina, 2024

Sep.18-20
896LV
Sep.18-20
896LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

21%

DeSantis

13%

Scott

6%

Christie

4%

Ramaswamy

2%

Pence

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%
21%
HaleyTrump+25
Sep.14-18
809LV
Sep.14-18
809LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

18%

DeSantis

10%

Scott

9%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

4%

Pence

4%

Hurd

1%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

0%

Elder

0%

Johnson

0%
18%
HaleyTrump+28
Sep.6-11
506LV
Sep.6-11
506LV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

Haley

18%

Scott

10%

DeSantis

9%

Christie

5%

Pence

3%

Ramaswamy

3%

Hutchinson

2%

Burgum

0%
18%
HaleyTrump+28
Aug.17-19
1,054LV
Aug.17-19
1,054LV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

DeSantis

14%

Scott

14%

Haley

8%

Christie

7%

Ramaswamy

6%

Pence

2%

Binkley

0%

Johnson

0%

Elder

0%

Hurd

0%

Suarez

0%

Burgum

0%

Hutchinson

0%
14%
DeSantisTrump+34
Aug.7-9
846LV
Aug.7-9
846LV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

11%

Scott

11%

Christie

7%

Ramaswamy

5%

Pence

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%
13%
DeSantisTrump+32
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