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Who’s ahead in South Carolina?

Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Feb. 15-18
500LV
Feb. 15-18
500LV
Trump
63%
Trump
63%

Trump

63%

Haley

35%
35%
Haley  Trump+28
Feb. 14-16
728LV
Feb. 14-16
728LV
Trump
61%
Trump
61%

Trump

61%

Haley

39%
39%
Haley  Trump+21
Feb. 13-15
1,089LV
Feb. 13-15
1,089LV
Trump
63%
Trump
63%

Trump

63%

Haley

34%
34%
Haley  Trump+30
Feb. 13-14
800LV
Feb. 13-14
800LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

Haley

38%
38%
Haley  Trump+22
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Campaign poll

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