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Who’s ahead in the Tennessee presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Tennessee, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 29-March 3
146LV
Feb. 29-March 3
146LV
Trump
83%
Trump
83%

Trump

83%

Haley

17%
17%
Haley  Trump+67
Feb. 29-March 3
161RV
Feb. 29-March 3
161RV
Trump
78%
Trump
78%

Trump

78%

Haley

16%
16%
Haley  Trump+62
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
428LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
428LV
Trump
81%
Trump
81%

Trump

81%

Haley

18%
18%
Haley  Trump+63
Dec. 1-31
LV
Dec. 1-31
LV
Trump
71%
Trump
71%

Trump

71%

DeSantis

14%

Haley

9%
14%
DeSantisTrump+57
Dec. 14-28
522LV
Dec. 14-28
522LV
DeSantis
46%
DeSantis
46%

DeSantis

46%

Ramaswamy

18%

Haley

14%

Christie

2%

Hutchinson

0%
18%
RamaswamyDeSantis+28
Dec. 14-28
646RV
Dec. 14-28
646RV
DeSantis
42%
DeSantis
42%

DeSantis

42%

Haley

16%

Ramaswamy

16%

Christie

7%

Hutchinson

0%
16%
HaleyDeSantis+26
Dec. 14-28
522LV
Dec. 14-28
522LV
Trump
72%
Trump
72%

Trump

72%

DeSantis

12%

Haley

7%

Ramaswamy

2%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump+60
Dec. 14-28
646RV
Dec. 14-28
646RV
Trump
71%
Trump
71%

Trump

71%

DeSantis

10%

Haley

7%

Ramaswamy

2%

Christie

1%

Hutchinson

0%
10%
DeSantisTrump+61
Nov. 14-Dec. 2
RV
Nov. 14-Dec. 2
RV
Trump
70%
Trump
70%

Trump

70%

Haley

24%
24%
Haley  Trump+46
Nov. 14-Dec. 2
RV
Nov. 14-Dec. 2
RV
Trump
56%
Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

20%

Haley

12%
20%
DeSantisTrump+36
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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