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Who’s ahead in the Vermont presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Vermont, 2024

Feb. 15-19
309LV
Feb. 15-19
309LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Trump
61%
 Trump
61%

Trump

61%

Haley

31%
31%
Haley  Trump+30
Jan. 4-8
242LV
Jan. 4-8
242LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Trump
47%
 Trump
47%

Trump

47%

Haley

19%

Christie

9%

DeSantis

3%

Ramaswamy

2%
19%
 HaleyTrump+28
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Campaign poll

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