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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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ADULTS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
309LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
309LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
76%
 Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

23%
23%
Haley  Trump+53
Jan. 24-31
372LV
Jan. 24-31
372LV
Marquette University Law School
 Trump
67%
 Trump
67%

Trump

67%

Haley

22%
22%
Haley  Trump+45
Jan. 24-31
408RV
Jan. 24-31
408RV
Marquette University Law School
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

Haley

22%
22%
Haley  Trump+42
Dec. 11-12
503LV
Dec. 11-12
503LV
Public Policy Polling
 Trump
54%
 Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

16%

Haley

15%

Christie

5%

Ramaswamy

4%
16%
 DeSantisTrump+38
Nov. 1-30
720LV
Nov. 1-30
720LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
56%
 Trump
56%

Trump

56%

DeSantis

17%

Haley

13%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

2%

Scott

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%
17%
 DeSantisTrump+39
Nov. 18-23
423LV
Nov. 18-23
423LV
Big Data Poll
 Trump
55%
 Trump
55%

Trump

55%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

12%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

3%

Binkley

1%

Burgum

0%

Hutchinson

0%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+42
Nov. 18-23
430RV
Nov. 18-23
430RV
Big Data Poll
 Trump
54%
 Trump
54%

Trump

54%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

12%

Ramaswamy

7%

Christie

3%

Binkley

1%

Burgum

0%

Hutchinson

0%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+41
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