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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 16, 2022

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

700LV
Nov.16-17
700LV
DeSantis
56%
DeSantis
56%

DeSantis

56%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  DeSantis+11

Nov. 12, 2022

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

1,044LV
Nov.11-13
1,044LV
DeSantis
56%
DeSantis
56%

DeSantis

56%

Trump

30%
30%
Trump  DeSantis+26

Nov. 10, 2022

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

Nov.11
DeSantis
66%
DeSantis
66%

DeSantis

66%

Trump

21%
21%
Trump  DeSantis+45

Nov. 1, 2022

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

777LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
777LV
Trump
75%
Trump
75%

Trump

75%

T. Scott

16%
16%
T. Scott  Trump+59
777LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
777LV
Trump
76%
Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Pence

18%
18%
Pence  Trump+58
777LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
777LV
DeSantis
52%
DeSantis
52%

DeSantis

52%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  DeSantis+11
777LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
777LV
DeSantis
44%
DeSantis
44%

DeSantis

44%

Trump

42%

Cheney

4%

Pence

1%

Cruz

1%

Haley

1%

T. Scott

1%

Pompeo

1%

Paul

1%

Rubio

0%

Cotton

0%

Youngkin

0%
42%
TrumpDeSantis+2

Oct. 31, 2022

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

243LV
Oct.30-Nov.1
243LV
Trump
50%
Trump
50%

Trump

50%

DeSantis

50%
50%
DeSantis  Trump+1
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