Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in Iowa?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 7, 2021

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2024

630RV
Mar.5-8
630RV
Trump Sr.
61%
Trump Sr.
61%

Trump Sr.

61%

Pence

8%

Haley

6%

Romney

5%

Cruz

4%

DeSantis

4%

Noem

2%

Pompeo

2%
8%
PenceTrump Sr.+53
630RV
Mar.5-8
630RV
DeSantis
20%
DeSantis
20%

DeSantis

20%

Pence

19%

Cruz

16%

Haley

10%

Noem

6%

Pompeo

6%

Romney

5%
19%
PenceDeSantis+1

Oct. 15, 2019

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2020

286LV
Oct.13-16
286LV
Trump
93%
Trump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

4%

Walsh

2%

Sanford

1%
4%
WeldTrump+90

March 23, 2019

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2020

207LV
Mar.21-24
207LV
Bloomberg
8%
Bloomberg
8%

Bloomberg

8%

Trump

93%
93%
Trump  Trump+85
207LV
Mar.21-24
207LV
Trump
90%
Trump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

10%
10%
Weld  Trump+80

Feb. 1, 2019

President: Republican primary, Iowa, 2020

280LV
Jan.30-Feb.2
280LV
Trump
90%
Trump
90%

Trump

90%

Kasich

10%
10%
Kasich  Trump+81
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download