See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 26, 2020, at 3:01 PM

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Who’s ahead in Iowa?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 17, 2019

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Iowa
Iowa
Oct 13-16, 2019
286 LV
Oct 13-16, 2019
286LVTrump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

4%

Walsh

2%

Sanford

1%
MoreTrump+90

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 24, 2019

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Iowa
Iowa
Mar 21-24, 2019
207 LV
Mar 21-24, 2019
207LVTrump
93%

Trump

93%

Bloomberg

8%
8%
BloombergTrump+85
President: Republican primary Iowa
Iowa
Mar 21-24, 2019
207 LV
Mar 21-24, 2019
207LVTrump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

10%
10%
WeldTrump+80

Feb. 2, 2019

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Iowa
Iowa
Jan 30-Feb 2, 2019
280 LV
Jan 30-Feb 2, 2019
280LVTrump
90%

Trump

90%

Kasich

10%
10%
KasichTrump+81

No matching polls

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