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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 7, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024

4,470RV
Jan.6-8
4,470RV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

DeSantis

33%

Pence

9%

Cheney

3%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

Abbott

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Noem

0%

Youngkin

0%
33%
DeSantisTrump+13

Jan. 4, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024

2,476RV
Jan.3-5
2,476RV
Trump
48%
Trump
48%

Trump

48%

DeSantis

32%

Pence

8%

Cheney

3%

Haley

2%

Cruz

2%

Abbott

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Noem

0%

Youngkin

0%
32%
DeSantisTrump+16

Jan. 1, 2023

President: Republican primary, 2024

4,829RV
Dec.31-Jan.2
4,829RV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

34%

Pence

8%

Haley

3%

Cheney

3%

Cruz

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

T. Scott

0%
34%
DeSantisTrump+11

Dec. 29, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

2,476RV
Dec.28-30
2,476RV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

33%

Pence

8%

Cheney

3%

Cruz

3%

Haley

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Youngkin

0%
33%
DeSantisTrump+14

Dec. 26, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

2,476RV
Dec.25-27
2,476RV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

31%

Pence

9%

Cheney

3%

Cruz

3%

Haley

2%

Abbott

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Youngkin

1%

T. Scott

1%
31%
DeSantisTrump+16
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